Zenyatta assigned 129 pounds for Vanity

[RolloTomasi]

Originally Posted by CSC

What is it about St. Trinians that is so awful in your opinion? When the Apple Blossom was announced earlier this year, some were even saying she was the 3rd most interesting filly if she would have ran in that race. Unrivaled Belle has won one race, the same reaction occured when Zardana beat Rachel. Let's keep that in mind, she may turn out to be a pretty special filly, but at the moment let's reign back the superlatives. St. Trinians has atleast ran some big races in So Cal before her lacklustre Big Cap, I think anyone can observe she is not a filly that is chopped liver caliber coming into The Vanity, even the anti-Zenyatta advocates should recognize this.

On paper, a case can be made that St. Trinians is the better (when taken into account that she runs on AW and the Vanity is run on AW), after all, Zardana was nearly 5 lengths behind her in the Santa Maria prior to upsetting Rachel Alexandra (though here you would need to ignore surface issues).

Nonetheless, there is no longer any guarantee that St. Trinians is still in that peak form she was in late last year and early this year. Its been 3 months since the Big Cap debacle (she should have been in the Santa Margarita--not the Apple Blossom) and who's to say she's the same horse after getting pummeled?

[CSC]

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi

Nonetheless, there is no longer any guarantee that St. Trinians is still in that peak form she was in late last year and early this year. Its been 3 months since the Big Cap debacle (she should have been in the Santa Margarita--not the Apple Blossom) and who's to say she's the same horse after getting pummeled?

With the rate Mitchell is sending out winners, I would form an educated guess she will run back to form. On cushion, I would rate her second to only Zenyatta at the moment in the distaff division. As stated I have a healthy respect for her, I'm not sure what her odds will be, but even if you a fan of Zenyatta, if the spread is enough with the projected small field, any objective bettor would atleast have to entertain the thought she can possibly pull off the upset. Though as is always the case in her career Zenyatta may have a thing to say about that.

[RolloTomasi]

Originally Posted by CSC

Though as is always the case in her career Zenyatta may have a thing to say about that.

Yes, her career has been characterized by herculean trial.