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  #1  
Old 04-30-2015, 02:52 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
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Originally Posted by ateamstupid View Post
Stanford out, Frammento is in. First time the '21' saddlecloth will be used since they capped the field.
Lavender, with dark blue numbers/letters

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  #2  
Old 05-01-2015, 12:04 PM
Port Conway Lane Port Conway Lane is offline
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Projected derby favoritism based on the oaks derby double payout per dollar from #7 in first leg
American Pharoah28
Dortmund40
Frosted86
Carpe Diem91
Firing Line95
Mubtaahij110
Materiality117
Upstart148
International Star195
American Pharoah and Dortmund are clearly 1 and 2.
Frosted projects to be a close 3rd choice over Carpe Diem
Firing Line and Mubtaahij currently have a clear edge over Materiality
Upstart figures a slight edge over International Star.

Last edited by Port Conway Lane : 05-01-2015 at 05:26 PM.
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  #3  
Old 05-01-2015, 12:13 PM
robfla robfla is offline
Calder Race Course
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane View Post
Projected derby favoritism based on the oaks derby double
American Pharoah
Dortmund
Frosted
Carpe Diem
Firing Line
Mubtaahij
Materiality
Upstart
International Star
American Pharoah and Dortmund are clearly 1 and 2.
Frosted projects to be a close 3rd choice over Carpe Diem
Firing Line and Mubtaahij currently have a clear edge over Materiality
Upstart figures a slight edge over International Star.
MUBTAAHIJ is getting a lot of double money for his odds
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  #4  
Old 05-01-2015, 12:30 PM
Port Conway Lane Port Conway Lane is offline
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Originally Posted by robfla View Post
MUBTAAHIJ is getting a lot of double money for his odds
Yeah, I guess he's the wiseguy horse.
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  #5  
Old 05-01-2015, 12:39 PM
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FATPIANO FATPIANO is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane View Post
Projected derby favoritism based on the oaks derby double
American Pharoah
Dortmund
Frosted
Carpe Diem
Firing Line
Mubtaahij
Materiality
Upstart
International Star
American Pharoah and Dortmund are clearly 1 and 2.
Frosted projects to be a close 3rd choice over Carpe Diem
Firing Line and Mubtaahij currently have a clear edge over Materiality
Upstart figures a slight edge over International Star.
where can I find these double prices? thanks
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  #6  
Old 05-01-2015, 01:17 PM
Port Conway Lane Port Conway Lane is offline
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Any ADW should have them. I use twinspires.
Here is a link to current derby odds, little help at this time with the small pool.
http://www.kentuckyderby.com/racing-...erby-live-odds
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  #7  
Old 05-01-2015, 01:26 PM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane View Post
Any ADW should have them. I use twinspires.
Here is a link to current derby odds, little help at this time with the small pool.
http://www.kentuckyderby.com/racing-...erby-live-odds
Wow, some interesting odds there so far.
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  #8  
Old 05-02-2015, 11:44 AM
outofthebox outofthebox is offline
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Competitive edge sparkling mile..Quality colt..Met mile?
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  #9  
Old 05-02-2015, 11:59 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
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With 7.3 million in the win pool, AP is 3.3-1. Dort is 4.4-1.

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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  #10  
Old 05-02-2015, 03:51 PM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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Mark Casse is unstoppable today.
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Tod Marks Photo - Daybreak over Oklahoma
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  #11  
Old 05-02-2015, 05:07 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Win bets on frosted, carpet diem, mubtaahij, used frammento, Danzig moon, upstart, war story and far right underneath. Seems like a long shot always hits the board, so figured I'd give it a whirl.
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  #12  
Old 05-02-2015, 06:14 PM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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Great job, Travis on calling the two big days.
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  #13  
Old 05-02-2015, 06:14 PM
Kitan Kitan is offline
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Agreed. Watched the majority on the CD feed rather than the TV.
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  #14  
Old 05-02-2015, 06:17 PM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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Originally Posted by Kitan View Post
Agreed. Watched the majority on the CD feed rather than the TV.
Me too. Love the picture, hate the programming.
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  #15  
Old 05-02-2015, 06:41 PM
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LARHAGE LARHAGE is offline
Hawthorne
 
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Materiality missed the break and got shuffled way back , he starts to pick it up on the backside and was really flying late. I don't think Pletcher runs him back in Baltimore , but he showed a lot to me to handle all he did today and could be a real Belmont contender. I don't know what happened to Upstart and Carpe Diem just spit the bit. California horses again in the Derby going 1,2,3. I thought Frosted also tried his best with an unfavorable pace set up.
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  #16  
Old 05-02-2015, 09:51 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LARHAGE View Post
Materiality missed the break and got shuffled way back , he starts to pick it up on the backside and was really flying late. I don't think Pletcher runs him back in Baltimore , but he showed a lot to me to handle all he did today and could be a real Belmont contender. I don't know what happened to Upstart and Carpe Diem just spit the bit. California horses again in the Derby going 1,2,3. I thought Frosted also tried his best with an unfavorable pace set up.
Agree with all of these points. I think Materiality has nothing but improvement ahead. I was shocked that Dortmund made the lead, and that the pace was as pedestrian as it was. He could not have and a better trip, relative to the amount of ground loss American Pharaoh needed to overcome, and may be a nice miler.

American Pharaoh may be even better in Baltimore. I'd love to see the Trackus as he clearly ran further than anyone else, and while maybe not as physically impressive in victory, the stats will bear out how much extra work he had to do.

Frosted closing like a shot into an non-existent pace was visually, the most impressive performance outside of AP's victory. Danzig Moon stalking and staying on was great to see. He just gets better with every race.
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  #17  
Old 05-04-2015, 08:34 PM
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Travis Stone Travis Stone is offline
Oaklawn
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek View Post
Great job, Travis on calling the two big days.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kitan View Post
Agreed. Watched the majority on the CD feed rather than the TV.
Thank you both. What an amazing weekend. Really hard to describe how awesome it was. Dream come true.
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  #18  
Old 05-04-2015, 09:59 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Travis Stone View Post
Thank you both. What an amazing weekend. Really hard to describe how awesome it was. Dream come true.
So happy for you!! Well done.
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  #19  
Old 05-05-2015, 02:24 PM
Kitan Kitan is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Travis Stone View Post
Thank you both. What an amazing weekend. Really hard to describe how awesome it was. Dream come true.
Sure looks like you had fun!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BqjFBLPBPOk
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  #20  
Old 05-05-2015, 05:11 PM
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_ed_ _ed_ is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kitan View Post
Sure looks like you had fun!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BqjFBLPBPOk
That's fantastic!

A great call, Travis. Congrats.
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