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  #1  
Old 04-28-2010, 11:41 AM
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clambeau clambeau is offline
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Default ALL w/ ALL ??

What are the chances with this wacky Derby that the exacta will pay 1K or more on a $400 investment?
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  #2  
Old 04-28-2010, 11:42 AM
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Originally Posted by clambeau View Post
What are the chances with this wacky Derby that the exacta will pay 1K or more on a $400 investment?
Poor
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  #3  
Old 04-28-2010, 11:46 AM
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Poor
Disagree. I think there's a good chance it does.
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Old 04-28-2010, 11:47 AM
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It's actually a $380 investment, and I think there's at least a 50% chance of you showing a profit.
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  #5  
Old 04-28-2010, 11:47 AM
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I'm thinking over a grand as well.
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  #6  
Old 04-28-2010, 11:47 AM
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I don't know if the risk is worth the reward. Or something.
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  #7  
Old 04-28-2010, 11:48 AM
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Originally Posted by philcski View Post
Disagree. I think there's a good chance it does.
I think most of the lower priced horses will run their races minus SC so its not for me.
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  #8  
Old 04-28-2010, 11:51 AM
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What about all/all with the Oaks-Derby double, that's only a $280 investment and all you need is Blind Luck to get beat. That could be a huge payoff
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  #9  
Old 04-28-2010, 12:13 PM
robfla robfla is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kgar311 View Post
What about all/all with the Oaks-Derby double, that's only a $280 investment and all you need is Blind Luck to get beat. That could be a huge payoff

$280 is for a buck. The DD would have to pay $560 to just break even... there are some throwouts
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  #10  
Old 04-28-2010, 12:16 PM
EpBurns EpBurns is offline
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Im betting All/1,2/1,2 in the derby triple a nice little $36 investment!
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  #11  
Old 04-28-2010, 12:19 PM
tanner12oz tanner12oz is offline
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i think this is a good bet this year...im throwing around the idea...i will toss stately victor to save $20 bucks....think he has 0% chance on hitting the board
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  #12  
Old 04-28-2010, 12:27 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid View Post
It's actually a $380 investment, and I think there's at least a 50% chance of you showing a profit.
For a 1$ bet. 20X19X1

760 for a 2....Pass
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  #13  
Old 04-28-2010, 12:30 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by clambeau View Post
What are the chances with this wacky Derby that the exacta will pay 1K or more on a $400 investment?
What chance do you give of Lookin At Lucky running either first or second?
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  #14  
Old 04-28-2010, 12:45 PM
tanner12oz tanner12oz is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35 View Post
For a 1$ bet. 20X19X1

760 for a 2....Pass
you do know the average payout for the last 10 years is something like $1500 bucks right?
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  #15  
Old 04-28-2010, 12:53 PM
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letswastemoney letswastemoney is offline
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I think you can toss the turf horses at least.
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  #16  
Old 04-28-2010, 12:58 PM
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randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
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[quote=tanner12oz;640873]you do know the average payout for the last 10 years is something like $1500 bucks right?[/QUOTE

Yes, the median would be a better example here. You expect a Giac/Clos Arg exacta here? (That was what 9 grand or something) Quite a skew.
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  #17  
Old 04-28-2010, 01:00 PM
docicu3 docicu3 is offline
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It may not be worth it in the exacta but buying a free square in the exotics has been very very good to me over the years in this race and the Preakness.

To get the benefit though you have to spend some money. Last year

All/1,2,15,16/1,2,15,16 paid 20K for $1 which I was lucky enough to have twice. Buying a wheel in these pools can be very very rewarding if you have a little luck and some knowledge that fills.
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  #18  
Old 04-28-2010, 01:07 PM
Antitrust32 Antitrust32 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by EpBurns View Post
Im betting All/1,2/1,2 in the derby triple a nice little $36 investment!
Thats a good idea... though All/1,2 exacta box might have a bigger chance of scoring.
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  #19  
Old 04-28-2010, 01:16 PM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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I never quite understood wheeling horses underneath only. Especially in a 20-horse field, how do you determine that certain horses are good enough to run second, but not win?
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  #20  
Old 04-28-2010, 01:17 PM
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randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid View Post
I never quite understood wheeling horses underneath only. Especially in a 20-horse field, how do you determine that certain horses are good enough to run second, but not win?
I agree.
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