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  #1  
Old 04-26-2014, 08:51 AM
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letswastemoney letswastemoney is offline
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The Derby is one race where everyone and their mother's mother focuses on pedigree. It's not that I don't think it's important though. I give it as much focus as a maiden race.

It's interesting that the stamina generally comes from the female side, as everything I read before the Florida Derby suggested that Wildcat Red couldn't get nine furlongs because of his sire.
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Old 04-26-2014, 08:56 AM
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Calzone Lord Calzone Lord is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by letswastemoney View Post
The Derby is one race where everyone and their mother's mother focuses on pedigree. It's not that I don't think it's important though. I give it as much focus as a maiden race.

It's interesting that the stamina generally comes from the female side, as everything I read before the Florida Derby suggested that Wildcat Red couldn't get nine furlongs.
Yeah, Wildcat Red is loaded with stamina on the bottom. People see a sprint sire and wanted to dismiss at 8.5f and 9f.

But, his dam Racene was a stoutly bred deep closer who once won at ten furlongs. She is sired by Miner's Mark, a horse who won the Jockey Club Gold Cup.
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Old 04-26-2014, 09:36 AM
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FATPIANO FATPIANO is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
Yeah, Wildcat Red is loaded with stamina on the bottom. People see a sprint sire and wanted to dismiss at 8.5f and 9f.

But, his dam Racene was a stoutly bred deep closer who once won at ten furlongs. She is sired by Miner's Mark, a horse who won the Jockey Club Gold Cup.
Almost everything I read about Wildcat Red, says he can't win The Derby, almost every handicapper says he is a toss in The Derby, But the fact is from 6 furlongs to 1 1/8 mile he is 5 for 7 with 2 seconds , 1 by a neck and the other by a head, To me he is almost undefeated 7 for 7, two losses in a photo. How many horses have won the Hutch, The Fountain of Youth, and The Florida Derby,(I know he lost The Florida Derby by a neck)(If Johny V did not open the rail for Pletcher's horse, Wilcat Red wins by 2) Calzone Lord, I know you know almost everything, of all the horses that won all three, how did they fare in The Derby? And seriously, what do you think of Wildcat Red's chances next Saturday? Thank You
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Old 04-26-2014, 10:02 AM
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GenuineRisk GenuineRisk is offline
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I have an acquaintance who travelled halfway across the country to buy a mare as a broodmare prospect for $1000 because she was a granddaughter of Seattle Slew. Needless to say, it would have been cheaper to just light $1000 and throw it in the street because it would have saved on transport costs.

I like your articles as I don't know much about pedigree handicapping, other than speed on top stamina on bottom allegedly being good for classic distances.

I guess I shouldn't judge my acquaintance too much. The past few Derbies I'd have saved money by, instead of wagering, lighting my money on fire and throwing it in the street because I'd have saved on subway fare to Aqueduct.
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Old 04-26-2014, 10:18 AM
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The Derby is about as brutal of a race to handicap as you'll see all year...but it's also a great race to analyze after it is over.

Really, the most exciting and anticipatory thing about the Derby -- should be the moment when the pace figures and speed figures are released...allowing you to finally fire up the DVR and watch the replay, which includes the greatest angle of all...the overhead blimp shot!

In a sane world, the Preakness should be the most anticipated race.

The Derby answers all of the many questions you don't know. The Preakness is a test of whether or not you have a good opinion...

And by the Belmont, you're left dealing with more questions. Between the unusual 12 furlong distance, and wondering who has or hasn't been knocked out by the meat-grinder Triple Crown series, it's also a very challenging race to handicap...generally speaking.
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Old 04-26-2014, 07:59 PM
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cakes44 cakes44 is offline
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Umm...yeah...SO WHO FITS THIS YEAR?
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Old 04-27-2014, 10:13 AM
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Calzone Lord Calzone Lord is offline
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Some are easier to categorize than others ... but if I had to make a call on all 20 -- this would be it.

Sprint oriented:

Vicar's In Trouble
Ride On Curlin
Medal Count
Vinceremos
Harry's Holiday


Versatile or distance neutral:

California Chrome
Saamrat
Dance With Fate
Intense Holiday
Taptiure
Ring Weekend
General a Rod
Candy Boy

Route oriented:

Wicked Strong
Danza
Hoppertunity
Wildcat Red
We Miss Arite
Chitu
Uncle Sigh
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  #8  
Old 04-27-2014, 09:07 PM
jstears jstears is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FATPIANO View Post
Almost everything I read about Wildcat Red, says he can't win The Derby, almost every handicapper says he is a toss in The Derby, But the fact is from 6 furlongs to 1 1/8 mile he is 5 for 7 with 2 seconds , 1 by a neck and the other by a head, To me he is almost undefeated 7 for 7, two losses in a photo. How many horses have won the Hutch, The Fountain of Youth, and The Florida Derby,(I know he lost The Florida Derby by a neck)(If Johny V did not open the rail for Pletcher's horse, Wilcat Red wins by 2) Calzone Lord, I know you know almost everything, of all the horses that won all three, how did they fare in The Derby? And seriously, what do you think of Wildcat Red's chances next Saturday? Thank You
I'm a firm believer of Wildcat Red but not digging the way he's been galloping at Churchill so far. He'll be all over my tickets come Sunday though.
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