Quote:
Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
NI lost the race by a little more than 3 1/2 lengths. What your'e saying is right. If NI had 4 lengths more ability (talent), he would have won. Yes, that is true. I don't know what that has to do with anything. You could say that about any bad ride. If a horse gets a bad ride and loses a race by 2 lengths, you could always say, "It wasn't the ride that cost the horse. If the horse had 2 1/2 lengths more ability, then he would have won any way."  That is true I suppose but what kind of argument is that?
I couldn't tell you why Javy moved way too soon. Did he misjudge how fast they were going or did he misjudge how long his horse could sustain his run? Does it matter? He made a major miscalculation either way. I don't know why he moved too soon. I just know he moved too soon.
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I don't think I can lay it out any clearer than what I did in my last post that you quoted. You didn' t answer my 2nd question. Is it impossible for you to believe that NI could have run a 2:02 3/5 given his position and the time on the timer at a mile? I believe he could have, and that's why I don't think the crucifying of JC is warranted & I don't think it was a terrible ride at all, as many are saying. You are focusing on the jockey instead of the horse. I guess it comes down to whether you believe (based on the question above) whether or not the jockey asked the horse to do something completely unreasonable...in this case he was 1st at a mile @1:36.16, so finishing his last quarter in 26.73 or less would have won the race. I was OK with that decision & obviously you weren't. Whether or not the horse could have finished 2nd or not...who knows. Frankly, it doesn't matter to me anyway...I bet the horse to win & if I were Brown I'd ride JC back with no hesitation.