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#1
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![]() I dont get this "every swing state" stuff.
I mean, Romney might have a better chance in Florida than Obama at this point. Or is Florida not a swing state now?
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#2
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![]() The only definition of a swing state I ever heard was from Carville and he said that a swing state is a state the candidate can't win the election w/out taking. So Ohio would be a swing state for both, Florida more for Romney, Michigan is one for Obama, etc..
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"but there's just no point in trying to predict when the narcissits finally figure out they aren't living in the most important time ever." hi im god quote |
#3
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![]() a swing state is a state with no clear party majority-in an election, it can 'swing' either way. some states vote purely demo or rep, regardless of candidate. swing states, you never know til the votes are counted.
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#4
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![]() Quote:
There are 10 swing states, now only eight. The eight left, that will determine the election, are OH, NH, FL, PA, NC, IA, NV, CO. All those states are now leaning Obama in aggregate polling except NC, which should be pretty sure for Romney. Obama started with more "safe Obama" states than Romney had "safe Romney" states. Obama was always over 270 electoral votes. Romney was always in the position of having to win votes to get to 270, and still is. Obama only had to win 1 or 2 swing states to assure victory. Romney always had to win virtually all of them to win. Florida has had overwhelming (greater than 2008 numbers) early turnout, nearly all Democratic. Florida is in "likely Obama" column. TPM.com has a good polling page, where they aggregate the polls, and an excellent reputation for accuracy. http://talkingpointsmemo.com/ click on "polls" in the header Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight.com page also has excellent, accurate analysis of swing states. www.fivethirtyeight.com
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"Have the clean racing people run any ads explaining that giving a horse a Starbucks and a chocolate poppyseed muffin for breakfast would likely result in a ten year suspension for the trainer?" - Dr. Andrew Roberts |
#5
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![]() with Romney donating his own money and asking for donations from his supporters for the Red Cross while Obama ate his free sandwich from the Red Cross and donating taxpayer money today made my point!
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#6
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I bet I could do a great job on this site of predicting which people are the least generous when it comes to donating money to charity. I'm not going to mention any names but I would say that in general, if you look at the most outspoken and angry liberals, it would be a safe bet to say that these people gave little or no money to charity. Last edited by Rupert Pupkin : 10-31-2012 at 05:53 PM. |
#7
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#8
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Biden gave less than $500 on $500K And Riot is looking for someone to subsidize her insurance. Of course she cares so much about womens' right to abortion and contraceptive coverage she ignores the lifetime ramifications of a gang rape by saying 'she'll be OK!' Generally they are the epitomy of hypocrites no doubt! |
#9
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![]() hes saving his money to fix the mug on that dog ugly wife of his..
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#10
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BTW He's on the down low. That's why Bubba can't stand him. |
#11
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I know conservatives that are extremely generous and i know liberals that are extremely generous. This isn't quite as stupid as your quote about keeping a baby when you are raped by someone you know but it is still pretty dumb. How old are you anyway? |
#12
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In terms of personal life experience, most of the angry liberals that I have met over the years are not very charitable. Of course there are some very charitable liberals. I was speaking in general. By the way, should I ignore my life experiences? We all make observations based on life experience. If something happens once or twice, it could be random. But when you see something fairly consistently for 20 years, you can usually draw some pretty accurate conclusions. How old am I? I am in my 40s. With regard to the rape thing, you are totally twisting my position. You totally misunderstood what I said. I explained my position thoroughly in a later post. |
#13
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http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/...ent-charities/ Who Really Gives? Partisanship and Charitable Giving in the United States Conservatives and liberals are equally generous in their donation habits. This pattern holds at both the individual and state level, and contradicts the conventional wisdom that partisans differ in their generosity. http://themonkeycage.org/blog/2012/1...united-states/ Exploding the myth that conservatives give more to charity than liberals A few years ago, several of our Applesauce regulars cited a study authored by Syracuse University Professor Arthur C. Brooks to support their argument that political conservatives donate more to charity than their liberal counterparts. But now there’s a NEW STUDY showing not only that charitable contributions are roughly equal among liberals and conservatives but also that Brooks’ methodology was faulty. Related posts: Exploding the myth that Romney pays more of his income in taxes and charity than does Obama Study shows that conservatives are more fearful than liberals Research suggests that liberals have thicker brains than conservatives Why are liberals so much better than conservatives at political satire? Study: Higher levels of education affect minds of liberals and conservatives differently
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"Have the clean racing people run any ads explaining that giving a horse a Starbucks and a chocolate poppyseed muffin for breakfast would likely result in a ten year suspension for the trainer?" - Dr. Andrew Roberts |
#14
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#15
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Has to be. Because what kind of supporting evidence could you possibly provide to back up your opinion here? It'd be like me saying I could do a great job predicting who uses the internet to troll for naive pu.ssy. Oh wait, I can do that. |
#16
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![]() Who's the boss?
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"If you lose the power to laugh, you lose the power to think" - Clarence Darrow, American lawyer (1857-1938) When you are right, no one remembers;when you are wrong, no one forgets. Thought for today.."No persons are more frequently wrong, than those who will not admit they are wrong" - Francois, Duc de la Rochefoucauld, French moralist (1613-1680) |
#17
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Obama has always had no more than 259 EC votes. When he lost FL, he has been hovering around 235. He's currently 237. This is the fact: ![]() Quote:
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#18
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You can see it, here: www.fivethirtyeight.com See that top graph? Electoral college vote since June? See the black line down the middle at 270 votes? Obama always above that line, Romney always below that line. You, on the other hand, appear to be quoting only one poll, not an aggregate of all of them. What poll are you quoting? You didn't reference who the poll was from, or the date it was taken.
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"Have the clean racing people run any ads explaining that giving a horse a Starbucks and a chocolate poppyseed muffin for breakfast would likely result in a ten year suspension for the trainer?" - Dr. Andrew Roberts |
#19
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#20
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![]() Duh. If you don't understand what "aggregator" means, you'd probably be best to stop commenting and looking silly. By the way - who did the poll you posted, and what date was it taken? You haven't fessed up yet. I have put my money where my mouth was, Rude. Obama wins, easily, via electoral vote. Want to bet on it, like Pants and Hooves have?
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"Have the clean racing people run any ads explaining that giving a horse a Starbucks and a chocolate poppyseed muffin for breakfast would likely result in a ten year suspension for the trainer?" - Dr. Andrew Roberts |