Twirling Candy Love....

[freddymo]

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi

I'm not qualified to comment on the pace figures, however the 3/4 split was nearly 4 seconds faster than that of the San Antonio (a Grade 2 for 4yo and up) a day later at the same track and distance. Nevertheless, my comment was in response to yours saying that visually Twirling Candy settled nicely in the Strub. That simply wasn't the case. The pace figs are available and while you cant speak about them as expert you know enough to realize restrained on a 90 pace vs. 110 pace in a the Donn means the horse is capable of running much slower early then the horses infront of him. I dont know how many lengths 20 pace pts are but surely it is 4 or 5Now, your new theory that because TC wasn't on the lead (despite "pulling") in the slower paced Strub, he would be able to settle off a faster pace as in the Donn I suppose is possible. Again, I wouldn't necessarily describe it as "settled" but he was pretty much outrun early in the Malibu, which would lend some support to your idea.

However, it should be recognized the Malibu was a sprint, at least a 1/4 mile shorter than the major handicaps later this year. Also that early pace was set by outright sprinters (Smiling Tiger and Alcindor), not by speedy route types. I might also even say that Twirling Candy should have been even further back in that race (he was only 3 lengths off Smiling Tiger) if indeed he could settle as you suggest. Lastly, though he was able to cope with being positioned off the early lead, the Malibu was certainly Twirling Candy's most hard fought victory, all out to get up just at the wire. Certainly that finish in no way suggests that he would want 2 more furlongs to deal with at anything close to that pace.

I always thought a horse that overcomes setup in a sprint in a race that doesnt fit his style suggests quality. Smiling Tiger is a better sprinter then Twirling Candy and therefore Twirling Candy was at a disadvantage plus Twirling candy connection could not have been targeting the Malibu for Twirling Candys supereme effort. I think you wil agree that the Malibu wasnt the connections ultimate goal even if you think they are foolishly persuing routing. As for not wanting extra distance, I would suggest the longer they go the better Twirling Candy will be as he continues to develop. the colt has a long stride and didnt look exhausted in the Strub now if that was a result of a very slow early pace that he seemed to somehow agree to rate on we will see as I am sure connections will look to the Big Cap and other routes for his immediate future