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#1
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![]() I got into an argument with someone who thinks it it is easier to pick 10 straight winning horses -- than it is to pick 1,000 straight losing horses.
I explained to him that you can single out at least 5 to 10 horses every single day who have a 0.00% chance of winning. Picking 1,000 straight to not win would be an odds-on task for a good handicapper. Picking 10 straight winning horses would be MUCH tougher and take much more patience. |
#2
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![]() Depends on if you get to pick which races you are wagering on. I assume you are.
A six horse field of 5k claimers would be tougher to pick a loser in, as opposed to a 12 horse stake or ALW race. Picking losers is a lot easier than picking winners. |
#3
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![]() I got into an argument on whether Mike Smith was legend.
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Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!" |
#4
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![]() Very difficult task either way, doing anything at that kind of strike rate is almost impossible.
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don't run out of ammo. |
#5
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![]() I will set up a thread in the contest section to try it out.
I'm pretty sure, picking a minimum of 3 horses a day (some days 20 or 30) I can find 1,000 straight horses who don't win. It will be interesting to see how many of them are able to have top 3 finishes. |
#6
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![]() I think I have picked 100 losers in a row this Saratoga meet. Picking 100 losers is much easier than picking 10 winners in a row..
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#7
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![]() purely as a math problem, you'd have to think 1000 straight would be harder than 10 straight. realistically, i don't think either would be doable.
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Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln |
#8
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![]() Quote:
http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=47847 I think it is very much doable. |
#9
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![]() Quote:
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Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln |
#10
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![]() I had an argument with a friend probably 20 years ago who said jockeys weren't in danger on the grass because it's soft.
Not wanting to get into the idiosyncrasies of the possibility of being trampled I explained they're doing between 30 and 35mph. Leaving the track he insisted he was right and after a quick trip to the nearby forest preserve I challenge him to jump out of my jeep into the grass at 30 mph. He said no problem until we got up to speed and he said f'u. Sidenote: A couple years after that he lost three fingers in a molding press probably because it wasn't dangerous and who needs wired saftey gloves. |
#11
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![]() I have faith that the Retarded Hen could do this in his sleep.
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