Weird arguments at the track
 

I got into an argument with someone who thinks it it is easier to pick 10 straight winning horses -- than it is to pick 1,000 straight losing horses.

I explained to him that you can single out at least 5 to 10 horses every single day who have a 0.00% chance of winning. Picking 1,000 straight to not win would be an odds-on task for a good handicapper.

Picking 10 straight winning horses would be MUCH tougher and take much more patience.

Depends on if you get to pick which races you are wagering on. I assume you are.

A six horse field of 5k claimers would be tougher to pick a loser in, as opposed to a 12 horse stake or ALW race.


Picking losers is a lot easier than picking winners.

I got into an argument on whether Mike Smith was legend. :rolleyes:

Very difficult task either way, doing anything at that kind of strike rate is almost impossible.

I will set up a thread in the contest section to try it out.

I'm pretty sure, picking a minimum of 3 horses a day (some days 20 or 30) I can find 1,000 straight horses who don't win.

It will be interesting to see how many of them are able to have top 3 finishes.

I think I have picked 100 losers in a row this Saratoga meet. Picking 100 losers is much easier than picking 10 winners in a row..

purely as a math problem, you'd have to think 1000 straight would be harder than 10 straight. realistically, i don't think either would be doable.

Here's the thread I started for it today in the Contest section:

http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=47847


I think it is very much doable.

would be fun to try if one had pp's and time. i guess one pick per race tho, correct? should be interesting to see it go down.

I had an argument with a friend probably 20 years ago who said jockeys weren't in danger on the grass because it's soft.

Not wanting to get into the idiosyncrasies of the possibility of being trampled I explained they're doing between 30 and 35mph.

Leaving the track he insisted he was right and after a quick trip to the nearby forest preserve I challenge him to jump out of my jeep into the grass at 30 mph. He said no problem until we got up to speed and he said f'u.

Sidenote: A couple years after that he lost three fingers in a molding press probably because it wasn't dangerous and who needs wired saftey gloves.

I have faith that the Retarded Hen could do this in his sleep.