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  #1  
Old 01-18-2010, 05:36 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Default 1/18: Aqueduct ($26k C/O); Gulfstream (P4); Oaklawn (Smarty Jones)

Struggles continued Sunday with a rather futile try at Santa Anita that yielded only even money favorite winners in the 4th and 9th. Of course there was no shame in missing utterly implausible El Encino heroine Pretty Unusual ($61.40), yet another Barry Abrams-Unusual Heat product that emerged late under Chantal Sutherland. Add the 30-1 upsetter to $14.80 High Standards in the 6th and $11.80 High Success in the 7th, and it's a little surprising that anyone hit the P6, let alone three winners of $59,800 each. Serious rainstorms threaten the holiday card at Arcadia on the evening of the Eclipse Awards in Beverly Hills.

A little rain and wind are expected at Jamaica today, but a carryover of $25,919 and an interesting sequence, including the MLK Day standard Jimmy Winkfield, make Aqueduct the prime focus today. Gulfstream P4 and the Smarty Jones, Oaklawn's kickoff to their sophomore series, are below as well as I work to break out of a pronounced funk.


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 4yo, 1m-70y (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Itsagoodtendollars 3-1 WON
Next Best: #3 Ex Pat 2-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Celtic Law 5-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Greatsilversaint 3-1 2nd


5th: NYB-MDN CLM, 4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

2-1 fave Classroom Legend feels underlaid in weak group of bottom level state-bred maidens..

Most Likely: #2 Classroom Legend 2-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Raging Meese 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Smarter Alex 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Digger Karakorum 5-2 WON


6th: CLM/N1Y, F&M-4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Boss Tiffany 1-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Gattinara 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Divorce Court 8-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Sinful Ways 15-1 7th


7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e R. Dutrow entry 8-5 3rd
Next Best: #3 Out of Respect 5-2 WON
Exotics Use: #2 Dahlgren Chapel 3-1 2nd


8th: 26th Jimmy Winkfield, 3yo, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #4 Love Who 5-1 5th
Most Likely: #5 Citizen's Arrest 1-1 4th


9th: NYB-MSW, 3yo-F, 5.5f (Super)

Doubt favored Contessa Menifee filly is much pumpkin, but hard to expect all of the promising-looking firsters to finish ahead of her.. Suggest including #9 Kaitlyn Ann (12-1) in your tris and supers..

Best Value: #7 Fiddler's Zephyr 5-1 4th
Most Likely: #8 Lights Out Lisa 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Triple Latte 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Gone Home 9-2 5th


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-3
5: 2-3
6: 4
7: 1-2-3
8: 4-5
9: 2-6-7-8

2x2x1x3x2x4 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-4
7: 1-2-3
8: 4-5
9: 2-4-6-7-8-9

2x3x2x6 = $72



GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Bonk 5-1 2nd/3rd
Best Value: #7 Great Blade 20-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Yombo Maugere 8-1 4th (3rd for wagering)
Super Add: #13 Poacher's Moon 5-2 WON


7th: CLM, 3yo-F, 1m-Outer Turf (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Cake Walk 5-2 8th
Best Value: #3 In the Money 12-1 10th
Next Best: #9 Pay Per View 12-1 12th
Super Add: #11 Ms. N. Tarsia 12-1 2nd


8th: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #2 Pleasant Prince 4-1 2nd
Most Likely: #5 Positive Split 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Launch N Relaunch 5-1 5th


9th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 7.5f-Inner Turf (Super)

Most Likely: #6 Hudson Landing 7-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Sporty 6-1 WON
Next Best: #8 Grand Piano Man 4-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Maxxam Xpress 6-1 9th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-4-8-10-13
7: 2-3-9-10
8: 2-4-5
9: 4-6

6x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72



OAKLAWN PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: 3rd Smarty Jones, 3yo, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Dryfly (5-2): "House" horse flashed in CD meet-ender.. WON
Best Value: #6 Crider (8-1): Developer from Asmussen TX/OK camp.. 4th
Next Best: #3 Prince Rooney (6-1): Owns field's lone open co. SW.. 12th
Super Add: #9 Pleasant Storm (8-1): 'Tap' colt 2/2 6f; Stretch a plus.. 2nd


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 01-18-2010 at 05:34 PM.
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Old 01-18-2010, 07:10 AM
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richard richard is offline
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Vital Argument will probably scratch in the 7 th @ Aq.
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  #3  
Old 01-18-2010, 10:29 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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AQU SCR/CHG'S


Weather: (Morning) PARTLY CLOUDY 43 (Post)
Track: MUDDY


4TH

8 Personal Worth Early



6TH

6 Flame Throwin Suzi Early



7TH

1A Dont Blame the Cat Early
4 Lord Jet Early
5 Vital Argument Early



9TH

10 Greens N Beans Early
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 01-18-2010, 10:37 AM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
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I think the likelihood that the Pick 6 carries at AQU is terrific.

NT
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Old 01-18-2010, 11:30 AM
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pointman pointman is offline
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I am strongly considering hitting the ALL button in the last at Aqueduct in the late pk4, tough race to decipher!
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  #6  
Old 01-18-2010, 12:28 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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GP SCR'S


Race 6

#2 Trippedoutofadream,
#6 Hanky Panky,
#8 Outta Space,
#9 Indy Connection,
#12 Fredro


Race 7

#10 Smart City Doc,
#13 June's Night Out,
#15 Sacred Desire,
#16 Top Smoocher


Race 8

#3 Guys Reward


Race 9

#13 Well Excuuuze Me,
#14 Straight Talk,
#15 King Prada,
#16 Nicetoseey'again
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #7  
Old 01-18-2010, 03:21 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Woo Hoo! Double carryover Wednesday!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #8  
Old 01-18-2010, 03:34 PM
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pointman pointman is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Woo Hoo! Double carryover Wednesday!
That was a tough sequence. Not sure that I agree with Mig pressing the lead in the feature, but that pk4 was very tough today as well. Been some live longshots at the Big A lately!
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