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#1
01-07-2010, 08:12 AM
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1/7: Gulfstream (6th-9th)
Very entertaining day of racing Wednesday with Aqueduct carryover, quality action at Gulfstream and a meaningful sophomore ALW at Santa Anita to cap the day. Unfortunately, Big A again produced an inside biased racetrack that propelled many of the winners and compromised the stalker-closers. Like the surface on December 30th that Andy Serling and Eric Donovan cover on this week's "Trips (Part I) and Traps (Part II)", this card's results should be noted for runbacks. Caution is advised as well for the next couple days until track super Glenn Kozak can 'fair up' the strip.
Second half of Gulfstream card had quality events that delivered rather chalky results, with the exception of Bennie Stutts' 20-1 Lemon Spice in the $50k CLM 5th, and hitting the $91.10 P4 at least covered the investment. Most notable from Wednesday at Hallandale was that three more outside posted horses won the 3 turf routes. With the temp rail out at 72 feet, or 84, the grass course has its' optimal width allowing out-posted runners a fair opportunity to work out a trip. It is when the rail is at 0 feet that the inside horses get the bigger edge around a tighter course. (Dick Powell of Brisnet explained this scenario carefully two winters ago and I'll try to find the essay.) The highlight Wednesday from both and Derby Trail and financial standpoint, was the Santa Anita allowance for freshly-minted 3yo's that was won by Best Value tab Kettle River. The Stonerside-bred son (now Darley-owned) of Congaree did get a perfect trip behind Baffert's pace-setting Quiet Invader, but finished well and looked good winning back to back routes. Eion Harty trains, and clearly will set sights on the SA soph stakes next. Hawaiian Springs was a late-arriving second for Kathy Walsh, and looks like a solid grinding type that will relish 9f or more and figures to also be stakes bound. The performances of the two Baffert trainees were credible but hardly encouraging from a classics standpoint. With the $23 winner keying the mutuels, the result produced a handsome $168 triple that made the day a success for me and hopefully for you as well. Back to Gulfstream for a P4 try today. Note that Fair Grounds has a $35k carryover if you are so inclined... GULFSTREAM PARK POST-SCRATCHES 6th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 Harlan's Princess 3-1 6th Best Value: #9 Prizes Galore 10-1 8th Next Best: #2 By Land Or by Sea 4-1 9th Super Add: #5 Oasis the Jak 12-1 7th 7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Toocleverforwords 3-1 4th Next Best: #2 Speak Easy Gal 4-1 2nd Best Value: #9 Tottie 12-1 WON Super Add: #12 Salsa Star 6-1 3rd $1 Exacta (9-2) Paid $17.60 $1 Trifecta (9-2-12) Paid $112.80 $1 Superfecta (9-2-12-5) Paid $538.30 8th: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 1m (DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 Thank U Phillippe (3-1): Wolfson colt alternating efforts; Has faced quality.. 2nd Best Value: #10 Remand (12-1): Another savvy buy? Working bullets, moves up on dirt, sits trip.. 7th Next Best: #3 Bank the Eight (6-1): DistHumor bay sharp in debut behind Rule; Aced MDN next and fits here.. 6th Super Add: #6 Eskendereya (5-2): Anticipated Pletcher runner surprised breaking MDN in off/turf juvy stake.. WON 9th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (Super) NOTE SCR OF #2 and #5 WHO WERE IN ORIGINAL SELECTIONS AND THAT #13 (AE) ARGENTARII WILL BE RUNNING... Most Likely: #13 Argentarii 5-2 10th Best Value: #10 Magic Lion 10-1 8th Next Best: #6 World Record 7-2 9th Super Add: #9 Chasing Ted 6-1 2nd <$75 P4 Play: 6: 2-7-9 7: 2-5-9 8: 4-10 9: 3-4-6-8-9-10-12-13 3x3x2x8 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 01-07-2010 at 04:56 PM. 
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#2
01-07-2010, 08:19 AM
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steve - finely and the boys are high on middleofthenight in the 8th , prado up , could you see him here? Last edited by Kasept : 01-07-2010 at 08:49 AM.
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#3
01-07-2010, 08:28 AM
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When you had Wayne Catalano on ATR in October he mentioned that Best Actor (today in the ninth @ GS) had a chance to be a special horse, what happened? Is training well for this race, two straight bullets.
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#4
01-07-2010, 08:49 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#5
01-07-2010, 08:46 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#8
01-07-2010, 11:36 AM
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#10
01-07-2010, 01:00 PM
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I left them both off. I put 85$ into the pick 3.
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#11
01-07-2010, 11:39 AM
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i know west point hypes just about all, but the trainers do not hype at all once they get to know you KMC was very high on this one before the divorce
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#12
01-07-2010, 09:30 AM
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Just as an FYI, Bris is providing free PP's for the Fair Grounds for the month of January.
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#13
01-07-2010, 11:39 AM
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GP SCR/CHG'S
Race 6 Scratch AE#13 SHANTUG Scratch AE#14 LYRICAL STAR Scratch AE#15 SARAH AND ME Scratch AE#16 HURRICANETTE Race 7 Scratch #1 SPANISH WEDDING Scratch #10 BLUE HILL BAY Scratch AE#13 GOLDIE LANE Scratch AE#14 ROSIE'S PRINCESS Scratch AE#15 LOXY LADY Scratch AE#16 ELECTION DAY Race 8 Scratch AE#13 BARRY'S MONEY Scratch AE#14 SKY VENTURE Scratch AE#15 JET SETTIN PAPA Race 9 Scratch #2 MINE N GEMS Scratch #5 BEA OF THE TIGER AE #13 ARGENTARII - Will Run Rider change to Jose Lezcano, Trainer: D. Blacker Scratch AE#14 FIRST DUDE Scratch AE#15 CRAVIN CADEN Scratch AE#16 READY TO DAZZLE
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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