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-   -   1/7: Gulfstream (6th-9th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=33637)

Kasept 01-07-2010 08:12 AM

1/7: Gulfstream (6th-9th)
 
Very entertaining day of racing Wednesday with Aqueduct carryover, quality action at Gulfstream and a meaningful sophomore ALW at Santa Anita to cap the day. Unfortunately, Big A again produced an inside biased racetrack that propelled many of the winners and compromised the stalker-closers. Like the surface on December 30th that Andy Serling and Eric Donovan cover on this week's "Trips (Part I) and Traps (Part II)", this card's results should be noted for runbacks. Caution is advised as well for the next couple days until track super Glenn Kozak can 'fair up' the strip.

Second half of Gulfstream card had quality events that delivered rather chalky results, with the exception of Bennie Stutts' 20-1 Lemon Spice in the $50k CLM 5th, and hitting the $91.10 P4 at least covered the investment. Most notable from Wednesday at Hallandale was that three more outside posted horses won the 3 turf routes. With the temp rail out at 72 feet, or 84, the grass course has its' optimal width allowing out-posted runners a fair opportunity to work out a trip. It is when the rail is at 0 feet that the inside horses get the bigger edge around a tighter course. (Dick Powell of Brisnet explained this scenario carefully two winters ago and I'll try to find the essay.)

The highlight Wednesday from both and Derby Trail and financial standpoint, was the Santa Anita allowance for freshly-minted 3yo's that was won by Best Value tab Kettle River. The Stonerside-bred son (now Darley-owned) of Congaree did get a perfect trip behind Baffert's pace-setting Quiet Invader, but finished well and looked good winning back to back routes. Eion Harty trains, and clearly will set sights on the SA soph stakes next. Hawaiian Springs was a late-arriving second for Kathy Walsh, and looks like a solid grinding type that will relish 9f or more and figures to also be stakes bound. The performances of the two Baffert trainees were credible but hardly encouraging from a classics standpoint. With the $23 winner keying the mutuels, the result produced a handsome $168 triple that made the day a success for me and hopefully for you as well.

Back to Gulfstream for a P4 try today. Note that Fair Grounds has a $35k carryover if you are so inclined...


GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Harlan's Princess 3-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Prizes Galore 10-1 8th
Next Best: #2 By Land Or by Sea 4-1 9th
Super Add: #5 Oasis the Jak 12-1 7th


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Toocleverforwords 3-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Speak Easy Gal 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Tottie 12-1 WON
Super Add: #12 Salsa Star 6-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (9-2) Paid $17.60
$1 Trifecta (9-2-12) Paid $112.80
$1 Superfecta (9-2-12-5) Paid $538.30



8th: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Thank U Phillippe (3-1): Wolfson colt alternating efforts; Has faced quality.. 2nd
Best Value: #10 Remand (12-1): Another savvy buy? Working bullets, moves up on dirt, sits trip.. 7th
Next Best: #3 Bank the Eight (6-1): DistHumor bay sharp in debut behind Rule; Aced MDN next and fits here.. 6th
Super Add: #6 Eskendereya (5-2): Anticipated Pletcher runner surprised breaking MDN in off/turf juvy stake.. WON


9th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (Super)

NOTE SCR OF #2 and #5 WHO WERE IN ORIGINAL SELECTIONS AND THAT #13 (AE) ARGENTARII WILL BE RUNNING...

Most Likely: #13 Argentarii 5-2 10th
Best Value: #10 Magic Lion 10-1 8th
Next Best: #6 World Record 7-2 9th
Super Add: #9 Chasing Ted 6-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-7-9
7: 2-5-9
8: 4-10
9: 3-4-6-8-9-10-12-13

3x3x2x8 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

gales0678 01-07-2010 08:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
8th: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Thank U Phillippe (3-1): Wolfson colt alternating efforts; Has faced quality..
Best Value: #10 Remand (12-1): Another savvy buy? Working bullets, moves up on dirt, sits trip..
Next Best: #3 Bank the Eight (6-1): DistHumor bay sharp in debut behind Rule; Aced MDN next and fits here..
Super Add: #6 Eskendereya (5-2): Anticipated Pletcher runner surprised breaking MDN in off/turf juvy stake..


steve - finely and the boys are high on middleofthenight in the 8th , prado up , could you see him here?

Buckpasser 01-07-2010 08:28 AM

When you had Wayne Catalano on ATR in October he mentioned that Best Actor (today in the ninth @ GS) had a chance to be a special horse, what happened? Is training well for this race, two straight bullets.

Kasept 01-07-2010 08:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gales0678
steve - finely and the boys are high on middleofthenight in the 8th , prado up , could you see him here?

He's OK, and looks like nearly lone speed...

Kasept 01-07-2010 08:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Buckpasser
When you had Wayne Catalano on ATR in October he mentioned that Best Actor (today in the ninth @ GS) had a chance to be a special horse, what happened? Is training well for this race, two straight bullets.

Good question. I included him..

NTamm1215 01-07-2010 08:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gales0678
steve - finely and the boys are high on middleofthenight in the 8th , prado up , could you see him here?

No way, West Point's high on one of their horses?

NT

gales0678 01-07-2010 08:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
He's OK, and looks like nearly lone speed...


thx steve

smuthg 01-07-2010 09:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Note that Fair Grounds has a $35k carryover if you are so inclined...

Thanks, as always, Steve...

Just as an FYI, Bris is providing free PP's for the Fair Grounds for the month of January.

RockHardTen1985 01-07-2010 11:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215
No way, West Point's high on one of their horses?

NT

:tro:

Kasept 01-07-2010 11:39 AM

GP SCR/CHG'S


Race 6

Scratch AE#13 SHANTUG
Scratch AE#14 LYRICAL STAR
Scratch AE#15 SARAH AND ME
Scratch AE#16 HURRICANETTE


Race 7

Scratch #1 SPANISH WEDDING
Scratch #10 BLUE HILL BAY
Scratch AE#13 GOLDIE LANE
Scratch AE#14 ROSIE'S PRINCESS
Scratch AE#15 LOXY LADY
Scratch AE#16 ELECTION DAY


Race 8

Scratch AE#13 BARRY'S MONEY
Scratch AE#14 SKY VENTURE
Scratch AE#15 JET SETTIN PAPA


Race 9

Scratch #2 MINE N GEMS
Scratch #5 BEA OF THE TIGER
AE #13 ARGENTARII - Will Run Rider change to Jose Lezcano, Trainer: D. Blacker
Scratch AE#14 FIRST DUDE
Scratch AE#15 CRAVIN CADEN
Scratch AE#16 READY TO DAZZLE

gales0678 01-07-2010 11:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215
No way, West Point's high on one of their horses?

NT



i know west point hypes just about all, but the trainers do not hype at all once they get to know you

KMC was very high on this one before the divorce

gales0678 01-07-2010 11:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985
:tro:

pletcher can win but

joe leave him off at your own risk and the woolfson one as well

RockHardTen1985 01-07-2010 01:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gales0678
pletcher can win but

joe leave him off at your own risk and the woolfson one as well


I left them both off. I put 85$ into the pick 3.

Scav 01-07-2010 01:03 PM

Race 3
 
#5 Snuggs and Kisses with the bug on...

Kasept 01-07-2010 02:31 PM

Boy oh boy.. Wasn't playing but Wes Henry didn't deserve to lose that 5th race just before... Gave the 30-1+ #4 Pistol Rules a brilliant ground saving ride and just gets bobbed at the wire.

NTamm1215 01-07-2010 02:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Boy oh boy.. Wasn't playing but Wes Henry didn't deserve to lose that 5th race just before... Gave the 30-1+ #4 Pistol Rules a brilliant ground saving ride and just gets bobbed at the wire.

It was a beautiful ride but if that horse couldn't win with that trip then he might never win again.

NT

hoovesupsideyourhead 01-07-2010 03:45 PM

wow that 9 flipped over..delay..


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