Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 12-14-2008, 08:43 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,894
Default 12/14: Aqueduct ($40k C/O)

Got very little right Saturday with middle legs of the Calder Grand Slam elusive, (in part thanks to the incorrect conclusion of where Wolfson sent I'm a Bird). While there were no jaw-dropping surprises in the Quad, the All Stakes sequence came back light at $702 ($1) despite bonus mutuels for Finallymadeit ($16.00) and Precious Passion ($17.20)..

Later at Hollywood, it felt like nearly every handicapping decision made was wrong with quandry omissions Doc on the Rock and Lemon Supreme winning early in the carryover skien before play-against Laragh wired the Starlet. Laragh turned out to be simply better than the rest of the Gr. I cast and made the most of her controlling speed.

Hope you did better than I Saturday.. Will try to get out for the weekend with a nice Aqueduct carryover on a fun and very challenging card...


AQUEDUCT


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Straightfromtheheart 3-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Hedge Fund 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Otis of Atlantis 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Corrupt Judge 20-1 7th


5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 2yo, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Very curious and difficult bunch of 2yo colts and geldings.. Note 5-2 fave #10 Smokin Hero has been alternating efforts which makes him a reaction candidate and a play-against here at certain low odds..

Most Likely: #9 Heir to the Throne 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Routine Addendum 15-1 DNF
Next Best: #4 Seeyouatsergios 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Head Heart Hoof 12-1 4th


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Miss World 4-1 7th
Best Value: #6 SCR (SUB: #8 Strike the Bell 5-1) 2nd
Next Best: #2 Driven by Passion 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Reforestation 3-1 4th


7th: The Foil, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Access Fee 3-1 4th
Next Best: #2 By the Light 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Captivating Cathy 15-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Distorted Passion 8-1 WON

.10 Super Play: 2-7 with 2-7 with 3-4-5-6 with All (2x1x4x6 = 48 x .10 = $4.80); 2-7 with 3-4-5-6 with 2-7 with All (2x4x1x6 = 48 x .10 = $4.80) Total play = $9.60


8th: 138th Ladies H., F&M-3+, 12f (DD)

SCR: #7 Weathered

Most Likely: #4 Sweet Goodbye 5-2 7th
Best Value: #8 Runway Rosie 8-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Nijinsky Ballet 8-1 2nd


9th: CLM, 3+, 6f (Super)

Best Value: #7 True Rebel 6-1 4th
Most Likely: #5 Mr. Serious 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Loaves and Dishes 15-1
Super Add: #3 Irish Gentleman 9-2 WON


@$300 P6 Play:

4: 6-9-10
5: 9
6: 2-3-6-8
7: 2-7
8: 1-4-8
9: 5-7

3x1x4x2x3x2 = 144 x $2 = $288


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-4-8
7: 2-7
8: 1-4-8
9: 5-7-10

4x2x3x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 12-14-2008 at 03:21 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 12-14-2008, 10:31 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,894
Default Aqu Scr's

4TH
12 Suny's Boy Early
13 Mondo Diverso Early
14 Absolute Return Early
15 Lost Going Home Early

5TH
1A Sweet Groom Early
3 Always On the Move Early

6TH
10 Bella d'Oro Early

8TH
7 Weathered Early NO SUPERFECTA

9TH
1A Double Down Vinman Early
2B Cherokee Focus Early
12 Karakorum Tornado Early
14 Glitter Moon Early
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 12-14-2008, 01:42 PM
pointman's Avatar
pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
Default

Taking a shot at the pk4:

6- 2,3,4
7- 1,2,7
8- 4,6,8
9- 1,3,5,8,10

Good Luck!
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 12-14-2008, 02:52 PM
pointman's Avatar
pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
Default

They better not take this 5 down.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 12-14-2008, 02:53 PM
Coach Pants
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Oh they will. It's what they do best.

Edit: I'm proud of 'em.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 12-14-2008, 03:01 PM
pointman's Avatar
pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
Default

They made the right call on that one. I like the 10 here at 8-1, but I expect I will get 5 to 6-1 by post time. $20W 10. $1 Tri 10/1,3,5,9/1,3,5,9
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:50 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.