12/14: Aqueduct ($40k C/O)
 

Got very little right Saturday with middle legs of the Calder Grand Slam elusive, (in part thanks to the incorrect conclusion of where Wolfson sent I'm a Bird). While there were no jaw-dropping surprises in the Quad, the All Stakes sequence came back light at $702 ($1) despite bonus mutuels for Finallymadeit ($16.00) and Precious Passion ($17.20)..

Later at Hollywood, it felt like nearly every handicapping decision made was wrong with quandry omissions Doc on the Rock and Lemon Supreme winning early in the carryover skien before play-against Laragh wired the Starlet. Laragh turned out to be simply better than the rest of the Gr. I cast and made the most of her controlling speed.

Hope you did better than I Saturday.. Will try to get out for the weekend with a nice Aqueduct carryover on a fun and very challenging card...


AQUEDUCT


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Straightfromtheheart 3-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Hedge Fund 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Otis of Atlantis 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Corrupt Judge 20-1 7th


5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 2yo, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Very curious and difficult bunch of 2yo colts and geldings.. Note 5-2 fave #10 Smokin Hero has been alternating efforts which makes him a reaction candidate and a play-against here at certain low odds..

Most Likely: #9 Heir to the Throne 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Routine Addendum 15-1 DNF
Next Best: #4 Seeyouatsergios 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Head Heart Hoof 12-1 4th


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Miss World 4-1 7th
Best Value: #6 SCR (SUB: #8 Strike the Bell 5-1) 2nd
Next Best: #2 Driven by Passion 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Reforestation 3-1 4th


7th: The Foil, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Access Fee 3-1 4th
Next Best: #2 By the Light 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Captivating Cathy 15-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Distorted Passion 8-1 WON

.10 Super Play: 2-7 with 2-7 with 3-4-5-6 with All (2x1x4x6 = 48 x .10 = $4.80); 2-7 with 3-4-5-6 with 2-7 with All (2x4x1x6 = 48 x .10 = $4.80) Total play = $9.60


8th: 138th Ladies H., F&M-3+, 12f (DD)

SCR: #7 Weathered

Most Likely: #4 Sweet Goodbye 5-2 7th
Best Value: #8 Runway Rosie 8-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Nijinsky Ballet 8-1 2nd


9th: CLM, 3+, 6f (Super)

Best Value: #7 True Rebel 6-1 4th
Most Likely: #5 Mr. Serious 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Loaves and Dishes 15-1
Super Add: #3 Irish Gentleman 9-2 WON


@$300 P6 Play:

4: 6-9-10
5: 9
6: 2-3-6-8
7: 2-7
8: 1-4-8
9: 5-7

3x1x4x2x3x2 = 144 x $2 = $288


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-4-8
7: 2-7
8: 1-4-8
9: 5-7-10

4x2x3x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Aqu Scr's
 

4TH
12 Suny's Boy Early
13 Mondo Diverso Early
14 Absolute Return Early
15 Lost Going Home Early

5TH
1A Sweet Groom Early
3 Always On the Move Early

6TH
10 Bella d'Oro Early

8TH
7 Weathered Early NO SUPERFECTA

9TH
1A Double Down Vinman Early
2B Cherokee Focus Early
12 Karakorum Tornado Early
14 Glitter Moon Early

Taking a shot at the pk4:

6- 2,3,4
7- 1,2,7
8- 4,6,8
9- 1,3,5,8,10

Good Luck!

They better not take this 5 down.

Oh they will. It's what they do best.

Edit: I'm proud of 'em.

They made the right call on that one. I like the 10 here at 8-1, but I expect I will get 5 to 6-1 by post time. $20W 10. $1 Tri 10/1,3,5,9/1,3,5,9