Thirsty Thursday Play around

[pointman]

Is there any race at Saratoga that Castellano doesn't win? He is really in a zone right now.

Trombetta's are auto-tosses for me from here on out for this meet. If he can't win with a closer who is dropped in half in price with a ground saving perfect ride behind blazing fractions, he will not win a race at this stand.

[HoosierInOhio]

Originally Posted by pointman

Is there any race at Saratoga that Castellano doesn't win? He is really in a zone right now.

Trombetta's are auto-tosses for me from here on out for this meet. If he can't win with a closer who is dropped in half in price with a ground saving perfect ride behind blazing fractions, he will not win a race at this stand.

Anyone could have made 5% this meet by blindly betting Javier to win, through yesterday. Probably higher after today. I had been meaning to query that out as he is winning a ton lately.

Factor Plays Winners Win W+P ITM WROI PROI SROI AvOdd AvgWin High I.V. 08/14/2014
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Play All 00127 00036 28% 45% 58% 1.05 0.95 0.93 5.4 $7.4 $17 2.33

Favorites 00045 00023 51% 73% 87% 1.35 1.20 1.15 1.7 $5.3 $8 4.26
Odds < 3/1 00052 00025 48% 69% 79% 1.28 1.14 1.02 1.8 $5.3 $8 3.80

Odds 8/1 up 00022 00000 00% 09% 14% 0.00 0.46 0.50 15.2 $0 0.00
Odds 20/1 up 00004 00000 00% 00% 00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.7 $0 0.00

ALW/STK 00061 00020 33% 51% 66% 1.10 1.10 1.02 6.0 $6.7 $13 2.64
CLM 00024 00007 29% 42% 50% 1.08 0.79 0.78 3.7 $7.4 $14 2.48
MSW 00031 00005 16% 39% 55% 0.62 0.80 0.94 5.3 $7.7 $11 1.32

[casp0555]

AP 9

$1 Trifecta - 3,7/3,5,7/2,3,4,5,7
$12

[pointman]

Originally Posted by HoosierInOhio

Anyone could have made 5% this meet by blindly betting Javier to win, through yesterday. Probably higher after today. I had been meaning to query that out as he is winning a ton lately.

Factor Plays Winners Win W+P ITM WROI PROI SROI AvOdd AvgWin High I.V. 08/14/2014
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Play All 00127 00036 28% 45% 58% 1.05 0.95 0.93 5.4 $7.4 $17 2.33

Favorites 00045 00023 51% 73% 87% 1.35 1.20 1.15 1.7 $5.3 $8 4.26
Odds < 3/1 00052 00025 48% 69% 79% 1.28 1.14 1.02 1.8 $5.3 $8 3.80

Odds 8/1 up 00022 00000 00% 09% 14% 0.00 0.46 0.50 15.2 $0 0.00
Odds 20/1 up 00004 00000 00% 00% 00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.7 $0 0.00

ALW/STK 00061 00020 33% 51% 66% 1.10 1.10 1.02 6.0 $6.7 $13 2.64
CLM 00024 00007 29% 42% 50% 1.08 0.79 0.78 3.7 $7.4 $14 2.48
MSW 00031 00005 16% 39% 55% 0.62 0.80 0.94 5.3 $7.7 $11 1.32

I am not surprised by this, he is winning on just about anything he is riding. 28% at Saratoga is crazy. Thanks for the stats.

[casp0555]

DMR 5

$1 Pick 4 - 5,9/6,7/2,3,8/1,9,10
$36

[pointman]

DMR 5

The 2 could wire this field, the 11 has a shot at a big price and could sit a nice trip if the speed breaks down.

$20W 2
$5DD 2,11/7,8