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#1
03-23-2013, 05:54 AM
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3/23: Gulfstream (6th-11th); Turfway (7th-10th); Santa Anita ($192k C/O)
GULFSTREAM PARK
POST-SCRATCHES 6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T/36' (P6, P3, DD) $1,120,613 Jackpot Rainbow 6 starts here.. Wide open start to the 6.. Best Value: #10 Sweet Kate 10-1 10th Next Best: #6 Secret Jewel 5-1 2nd Exotics Use: #7 Bella Castani 20-1 WON ($8.80) Super Add: #9 Vita Vittoria 4-1 8th 7th: MDN CLM ($25k), 3yo-F, 6f (P5, P3, DD) Best Value: #8 Pearl de Vere 10-1 3rd Next Best: #1 One Tough Cowgirl 3-1 5th Exotics Use: #5 Kind of Wonderful 12-1 10th Super Add: #6 Music N Songs 4-1 4th 8th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T/36' (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #7 Regatta 6-1 8th Next Best: #6 Street Secret 7-2 WON ($7.60) Exotics Use: #8 Sure Route 6-1 6th Super Add: #2 Dame Marie 8-1 4th 9th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #10 Affair 3-1 8th Next Best: #2 Poised to a Tee 4-1 WON ($10.60) Best Value: #7 Anillo 5-1 2nd Exotics Use: #1 Prima Zip 6-1 4th 10th: 54th Pan American (F2), 4+, 12f-T/96' (DD) Interesting lineup for this with no shortage of pace factors in Teaks North, Ioya Bigtime, Twilight Eclipse and perhaps Belo Acteon. As discussed with Mike Welsch yesterday, I'm looking to get the roulette peg to frop into the slot of hard-trying Empire Builder. May be over-matched but we'll get paid if right.. Best Value: #8 Empire Builder 15-1 8th Next Best: #10 Newsdad 2-1 3rd Exotics Use: #4 Mucho Mas Macho 5-1 5th Super Add: #3 Ioya Bigtime 6-1 2nd 11th: MDN CLM ($35k), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T/36' (Super Hi-5) Most Likely: #1 Snit Fit 7-2 4th Best Value: #2 Ceci N Red 5-1 WON ($11.00) Next Best: #3 Lovely Dynaformer 6-1 7th Exotics Use: #8 Ely Runner 20-1 10th <$30 P6 Play: 6: 6-7-9-10 7: 1-5-8 8: 6-7 9: 2-7-10 10: 8-10 11: 1-2 4x3x2x3x2x2 = 288 x .10 = $28.80 <$50 P5 Play: 7: 1-5-8 8: 6-7 9: 1-2-7-10 10: 8-10 11: 1-2 3x2x4x2x2 = 96 x .50 = $48 <$75 P4 Play: 8: 2-6-7-8 9: 1-2-7-10 10: 4-8-10 11: 1-2-3 4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 TURFWAY PARK POST-SCRATCHES 7th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P5, P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 Impassable Canyon 7-2 WON ($5.00) Next Best: #2 Sir Squire 3-1 3rd Exotics Use: #12 Mal Guapo 7-2 2nd Super Add: #3 Holy Moses 10-1 5th 8th: Rushaway, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD) Best Value: #1 Red Wings 8-1 3rd Next Best: #9 Crop Report 4-1 WON ($3.20) Exotics Use: #5 J. J. Got Even 8-1 5th Super Add: #2 Divine Ambition 9-2 2nd 9th: Bourbonette Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD) Tremendous betting race with Pure Fun guaranteed to be a crazy underlay.. Most Likely: #12 Awesome Mama 12-1 8th Best Value: #1 Street of Gold 30-1 6th Next Best: #5 Pure Fun 7-5 3rd Exotics Use: #3 Miss Squeal 15-1 5th 10th: Spiral (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD) Another bet-against opportunity with high profile players ML choices Balance the Books (7-2), Uncaptured (3-1) & Capo Bastone (9-2) sure to draw too much money. My Name is Michael (10-1), Mac the Man (10-1), General Election (12-1) & Giant Finish (15-1) are all as likely here as the favored set.. Most Likely: #5 My Name is Michael 10-1 8th Best Value: #8 General Election 12-1 10th Next Best: #7 Mac the Man 10-1 12th Exotics Use: #1 Balance the Books 7-2 11th <$75 P4 Play: 7: 2-6 8: 1-5-9 9: 1-3-5-10-12 10: 1-4-5-7-8 2x3x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75 SANTA ANITA PARK POST-SCRATCHES 4th: S/ALW, 3+, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD) $192k Double P6 C/O starts here.. Most Likely: #4 Baby Blake 2-1 (A) 2nd Next Best: #2 Cloud Top 4-1 (B) 5th Exotics Use: #1 My Samurai Warrior 5-2 (B) WON ($6.60) Super Add: #3 Crimson Giant 8-1 (C) 6th 5th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD) Outstanding looking cast for this early spring 3yo Maiden test. Pure Loyalty (ran into Governor Charlie & Treasury Bill), Zee Bros (2nd to Salutos Amigos) and the trio of Airfoil, Tenkiller Kid & Master Appeal (behind Summer Exclusive) all have bona fides here. Baffert firster Declassify has to contend with tricky post for seven-eigths, but is working beautifully and appears well meant. Unusual to get such a superb assembly with so much upside at this point in the season.. Most Likely: #8 Zee Bros 9-5 (A) WON ($3.60) Next Best: #7 Master Appeal 3-1 (A) 2nd Exotics Use: #2 Pure Loyalty 4-1 (B) 3rd Super Add: #6 Tenkiller Kid 6-1 (C) 5th 6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 Charm Catcher 5-2 (A) 4th Next Best: #2 Wednesday 3-1 (A) WON ($5.80) Best Value: #5 Devious Chic 6-1 (B) 3rd Exotics Use: #1 Dance Team 3-1 (C) 2nd 7th: 15th Tokyo City (G3), 4+, 12f (P3, DD) Tricky rendition of this marathon.. Best Value: #2 Sky Kingdom 9-2 (A) WON ($12.20) Next Best: #6 Calidoscopio 7-2 (B) 7th Exotics Use: #8 Dhaamer 5-2 (B) 5th "C's": #4 Oilisblackgold 7-2 2nd; #5 Richard's Kid 9-2 3rd (C) 8th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f-T (DD) Hard to argue with remarkable late bloomer Mr. Bossy Pants (2-1), but there are another 3-4 here that are within striking distance and enough pace types to keep the favorite honest.. Best Value: #6 Atticus Jack 6-1 (A) 2nd Next Best: #8 Mr. Bossy Pants 2-1 (A) 3rd Exotics Use: #3 Drift King 4-1 (C) WON ($8.20) Super Add: #4 Lamm 4-1 (C) 6th 9th: MDN CLM ($30k), 3yo-F, 6f (Super Hi-5) $28,825 Super Hi-5 C/O here.. Tricky ending to sequences but Top Tizzy looks prime making dirt bow in this spot in first try for highly capable conditioner in Kory Owens.. Best Value: #7 TOP TIZZY 8-1 (A) 5th Next Best: #1 Jawbreaker 3-1 (B) WON ($5.80) Exotics Use: #9 Going Back to Cali 5-2 (C) 3rd Super Add: #6 Jiggin' With M K R 5-1 (C) 7th <$150 P6 Play: 4: 1-2-4 5: 7-8 6: 2-6 7: 2-6-8 8: 6-8 9: 7 3x2x2x3x2x1 = 72 x $2 = $144 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 2-5-6 7: 2-4-5-6-8 8: 6-8 9: 1-5-6-7-9 3x5x2x5 = 150 x .50 = $75 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 03-23-2013 at 06:50 PM. 
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#2
03-23-2013, 10:18 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
03-23-2013, 12:10 PM
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Quote:
As a sidenote, I consciously avoid prominently featuring horses on the basis of a 'push' from someone.. even from people that actually might know something. Slippery slope. I'd rather be wrong than start doing that.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#5
03-23-2013, 12:18 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#7
03-23-2013, 02:01 PM
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Some clues into the rather mysterious GP MSW 6th..
DD will pays with 1-5 (.20) Carried Interest: 6 Secret Jewel $5 9 Vitta Vittoria $5 2 Wine Burglar $8 5 Triple Arch $9 1 Galloping Giraffe $12 10 Sweet Katie $14 7 Bella Castani $15
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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