romney rules in iowa

[Riot]

Rupert - I think this election was decided over a month ago. The polls really have not budged significantly since then. There is 6 days to election. Romney is refusing to talk to press.

How can Romney turn around all these swing states and get to 270? Romney never had a road to 270 electoral votes. He would need a historical landslide of all swing states. Never gonna happen.
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Via Markos Moulitsas copying TPM Polltracker (all polls synthesized together) :

Here's the current state of the race 10-30-12, per the TPM polltracker. I did one of these yesterday, so the trends only span one day.

State Obama Romney Margin Change from 10/29

Colorado 48 46.2 1.8 0.0
Florida 48.2 48.4 -0.2 0.1
Iowa 49.2 46.9 2.3 0.0

New Hampshire 48 45 3.0 0.7
Nevada 50.3 46.2 4.1 0.9
North Carolina 45.9 48.4 -2.5 0.0

Ohio 49.4 47.3 2.1 0.7
Virginia 48.6 46.6 2.0 0.0
Wisconsin 48.9 46.7 2.2 0.0

Michigan 47.7 46.5 1.2
Pennsylvania 48.9 45.9 3.0

The states that have polls all show the trends continuing in Obama's direction. I re-added Michigan and Pennsylvania at the bottom. Pennsylvania looks tight/ But it's skewed by one of those baby Rasmussen pollsters, in this case Foster-McCollum for the local Fox affiliate. Their influence on the composite is particularly outsized because few people have polled the state recently. Take them out, and it's Obama 48.7-44.8, or a nearly four-point edge.