romney rules in iowa
 

News papers endorse romney..the first time in 40 years
He also has a lock in floridas i10 corridor ..

Obama now spending campaign money in PA. A state he thought was locked up for him.

Not to tap the glass too hard but I'm sayin Romney takes Wisconsin !!!

went to see romney in p cola 10,000 seats were gone in 25 min..another 3000 were outside....the people get it...

as a side maddona concert in new orleans last weekend.. she told concert goers to vote obama ..she was boo'd and several people left..

I believe that Romney takes Florida, but it will come down to Ohio and possibly even Colorado !!!

Oh, my, we need all you guys to take your election predictions to the contest thread ;)

I don't know who is going to win but it will definitely be closer than you think. If it was as big of a cinch as you think, Obama would be a 1-9 favorite. The posted odds right now of the republicans keeping control of the House of Representatives is a 95% chance (aka 1-20). Now that is a heavy favorite. If someone has a very strong expectation of that happening, that would be warranted.

Obama is far from a lock. The race is very still tight. If the betting lines are right and he has around a 64% chance of winning, that is a solid favorite but it is far from a lock.

If Obama does win, the one good thing is that we won't have to worry about riots. If Romney wins, I guarantee there will be riots. I have no idea what the extent will be but I guarantee there will at least be some civil unrest. People are already threatening it on Twitter. If people riot after a championship basketball game, they will certainly riot if their man loses the Presidency.

of course there will.. god forbid they have to work..and not get free obama bucks..

That was one of the things that one of the people on Twitter said. He said, "If Romney wins we're going to riot. Romney is going to take away our food stamps."

Rupert - I think this election was decided over a month ago. The polls really have not budged significantly since then. There is 6 days to election. Romney is refusing to talk to press.

How can Romney turn around all these swing states and get to 270? Romney never had a road to 270 electoral votes. He would need a historical landslide of all swing states. Never gonna happen.
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Via Markos Moulitsas copying TPM Polltracker (all polls synthesized together) :

Here's the current state of the race 10-30-12, per the TPM polltracker. I did one of these yesterday, so the trends only span one day.

State Obama Romney Margin Change from 10/29

Colorado 48 46.2 1.8 0.0
Florida 48.2 48.4 -0.2 0.1
Iowa 49.2 46.9 2.3 0.0

New Hampshire 48 45 3.0 0.7
Nevada 50.3 46.2 4.1 0.9
North Carolina 45.9 48.4 -2.5 0.0

Ohio 49.4 47.3 2.1 0.7
Virginia 48.6 46.6 2.0 0.0
Wisconsin 48.9 46.7 2.2 0.0

Michigan 47.7 46.5 1.2
Pennsylvania 48.9 45.9 3.0

The states that have polls all show the trends continuing in Obama's direction. I re-added Michigan and Pennsylvania at the bottom. Pennsylvania looks tight/ But it's skewed by one of those baby Rasmussen pollsters, in this case Foster-McCollum for the local Fox affiliate. Their influence on the composite is particularly outsized because few people have polled the state recently. Take them out, and it's Obama 48.7-44.8, or a nearly four-point edge.

Let me ask you something...do conservatives take the "Obama bucks" also? I mean, the way you guys go on the only people who receive government support are people who support Obama.

no im sure many need food stamps and unemployment. ive got no problem with those that need it.now where i have a problem is when you have cronic abuse of the system.ive seen people with 3 or more kids 3 diffrent fathers getting foodstamps ,unemployment benifits..they drive a 50 thousand dollar car..they dont have any intention of finding work .this is generations of welfare.im looking for some integrity in the system.random drug testing of long standing welfare recipiants. not the elderly..people of working age who are fit..and just lazy..im not hartless just tired of the abuse.and i find it funny that when the 47 percent comes up..obama does not address this demographic..its old people and veterans..acting as if romney wants to cut off a veteran or the elderly..:rolleyes:

Wow. My neighbor's canines are barking their lungs out thanks to all the dog whistles in this post.

Wow, no schit!..i'm on SS and can barely afford a 5000 car..:mad:

Oh yeah, how bout the tea party and their leader gomer here...they gonna sit by and do nothing..:eek: and they will be packing..

Then you'll love what Iowa Republican Congressman Steve King said today:

He wants strict controls on any federal disaster aid, because the aid that went to Katrina victims was spent on "Gucci bags and massage parlors".

Meanwhile, the right is still getting pimped by Alex Jones making up fake Twitter accounts and posting "dis nigga gonna riot if Obama loses!"

:D Did he mention the 50K cars and 50" flat screen tvs?

Do you have any evidence that the threats came from phony Twitter accounts?

You saved nothing? :zz::wf