Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > The Steve Dellinger Discourse Den
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-09-2012, 07:31 PM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,102
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Riot View Post
I agree with you that the betting sites are fairly accurate.

I'm not surprised Romney got a 1-2% bump out of his debate, as being a liar isn't as important to his base as "being a tough mother beating on Obama". They like that. But Romney has to win nearly all the swing states, and he's quite behind there. He not only has to hope his bump holds, he has to hope he continues to gain.

Another highly accurate guy is Nate Silver.

Five-Thirty-Eight has the daily tracker as Chance of Winning, Obama 76.9%, Romney 23.1%

Electoral college, however, is still 297.4 to 240.6. Mitt needs 270. Won't get it.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
I think he got a much bigger bounce than 1-2%. It is more like 5-6%.

When it comes to the subject of being a liar, I don't think anyone could top Obama:

http://obamalies.net/list-of-lies

This is an incomplete list too. They don't even mention that he promised he would not hassle medical marijuana dispensaries yet now the feds are trying to shut them all down in California.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 10-09-2012, 08:50 PM
Riot's Avatar
Riot Riot is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 14,153
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin View Post
I think he got a much bigger bounce than 1-2%. It is more like 5-6%.
I have yet to see any poll that shows that - what are you looking at?
__________________
"Have the clean racing people run any ads explaining that giving a horse a Starbucks and a chocolate poppyseed muffin for breakfast would likely result in a ten year suspension for the trainer?" - Dr. Andrew Roberts
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 10-09-2012, 08:59 PM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,102
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Riot View Post
I have yet to see any poll that shows that - what are you looking at?
How about the poll that the Daily Beast cited in the Sullivan article. That poll was done by Pew. It showed a 12% bounce.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 10-10-2012, 05:59 PM
Riot's Avatar
Riot Riot is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 14,153
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin View Post
How about the poll that the Daily Beast cited in the Sullivan article. That poll was done by Pew. It showed a 12% bounce.
Pew doesn't have Romney ahead by any measure remotely close to what he'd need to win electoral votes in the swing states and win. Either does anybody else.

Romney fans need to enjoy this week
__________________
"Have the clean racing people run any ads explaining that giving a horse a Starbucks and a chocolate poppyseed muffin for breakfast would likely result in a ten year suspension for the trainer?" - Dr. Andrew Roberts
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 03:30 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.