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#1
06-05-2012, 08:00 AM
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I think recent history shows that fresher horses run better at Belmont. I don't believe we've had a horse who ran in the Preakness win the Belmont since 2005. And before that, you have to go back to Point Given in 2001 to find a Belmont winner who even ran in the Preakness.
__________________
The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs." 
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#2
06-05-2012, 04:18 PM
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I questioned Rags at 10f, so I'm firmly in the camp that believes those bloodlines don't favor him getting better going 12f.
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Do I think Charity can win? Well, I am walking around in yesterday's suit.
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#3
06-05-2012, 04:27 PM
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#4
06-05-2012, 04:29 PM
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#5
06-05-2012, 05:26 PM
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I didnt like Union Rags for the Classics the moment I read his breeding. As for him being placed with the leaders early on, I welcome it. I'll Have Another has caught anyone who has been ahead of him all four races this year. Looks like your best chance is to strike late against him.
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#6
06-05-2012, 05:26 PM
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First Dude -- 2nd in Preakness -- was 3rd in '10 Belmont, beaten less than a length. Mine That Bird's '09 Belmont was doomed by Borel, but there was certainly nothing wrong with his effort post Derby-Preakness. Horses exiting Preakness in the Belmont since '02: 24/1-4-3 Horses exiting 1-2-3 Preakness finish since '02: 16/1-3-3
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 06-06-2012 at 09:24 PM.
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#7
06-05-2012, 08:51 PM
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#8
06-06-2012, 04:17 AM
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When I look at Union Rags efforts as the distances increased.. the diminishing figures and duller performances to me says, "Hey, I love 1 turn races".
He does get the french statue off his back and did run his best race ever over the surface, so he has a couple things going for him...
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#9
06-06-2012, 04:56 AM
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John Velasquez is a downgrade at this point. If you look since April 1st Leparoux has been a far better rider.
John is an anchor too. Especially if he takes a look at the turf course during the race. Might as well ease the horse at that point.
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#10
06-06-2012, 07:01 AM
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#11
06-06-2012, 09:28 AM
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Great stats, Steve. Wondering what the record in that time of Derby runners skipping the Preakness is. Just off the top of my noodle, there's Empire Maker, Birdstone, Jazil, and Summer Bird, and Rags to Riches should half count. Even in the years where there were big upsetters since Point Given in '01 (i.e., Da'Tara, Ruler on Ice), horses like Denis of Cork, Bluegrass Cat, Dunkirk, and Stay Thirsty have gone Derby-Preakness and run second.
__________________
The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs."
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#12
06-06-2012, 10:03 AM
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If you want your horse on or near the lead, you would want JVR over Frenchy, correct? I could be wrong.
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#13
06-06-2012, 10:09 AM
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I'm taking Union Rags mainly because of JV getting the mount. No one knows his way around Belmont better than him, and I think he'll have him in a good spot throughout.
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#14
06-06-2012, 10:39 AM
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#15
06-06-2012, 09:05 PM
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Other Preakness skippers include: Master of Hounds, Santiva, Nehro, Brilliant Speed last year; Stately Victor, Ice Box, Make Music for Me in '10; Mr. Hot Stuff, Chocolate Candy in '09; Tale of Ekati, Anak Nakal in '08; I'mawildandcrazyguy, Tiago in '07 Deputy Glitters, Bob and John, Steppenwolfer in '06 Perfect Drift in '02
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 06-06-2012 at 09:25 PM.
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#16
06-06-2012, 09:09 PM
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remember when a hero came back at toga . 3/5 broke frome the gate and stopped..arggg.. you have alink to the express bet write up steve?
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#17
06-06-2012, 08:53 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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