Dave "Bombs Away" Liftin

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by VOL JACK

Best Bet should mean the horse you can't wait to drive an hour to the track and throw down a couple of hundy on.
Who the hell looks forward to betting a $2.30 horse?

Incorrect

[VOL JACK]

whatever.

I just don't need a friggin write up in the DRF about how the track handicapper for NYRA tracks thinks a 2/5 shot is gonna win.

[Calzone Lord]

Originally Posted by VOL JACK

whatever.

I just don't need a friggin write up in the DRF about how the track handicapper for NYRA tracks thinks a 2/5 shot is gonna win.

They routinely hammer Brad Free on Pace Advantage for the same stuff.

Turn on ESPN Classic right now - they are showing harness racing and a skinny version of Tom Durkin is calling it.

[Antitrust32]

Originally Posted by VOL JACK

whatever.

I just don't need a friggin write up in the DRF about how the track handicapper for NYRA tracks thinks a 2/5 shot is gonna win.

ignore it if it bothers you so darn much. thats not hard to do.

[Thunder Gulch]

Just my opinion, but Litfin is the best of the group from DRF. I've seen him make selections based on value countless times.

[Linny]

Litfin is very good. Fact is that Bold Warrior was the most likely winner of the day but the term " best bet" is the phrase used.

As for public handicappers and ROI, I understand why it's generally not published. First, selections are usually made 36 hours in advance with condiditons/scratches a mystery and the fact that no handicapper actually plays every race. Every public handicapper I've met has at some point HAD to make selections on races that they wouldn't bet for anything because they just can't get a good grip on them.

Picking alot of winners gets attention. Most people using the information from a public 'capper are not just blindly betting their top choice to win. They are confirming their choices or maybe mixing their "top choice" with their favorite public 'cappers' choices in EX/TRI/SUP or multi race play. If they choose to blend their picks with Litfin's and walk out with plenty more than they walked in with, to them Litfin is great even if he didn't have a "top choice" winner all day.

[Calzone Lord]

I think I had a top-pick winner today who was rescued from a slaughter house since it last ran.

Horse probably would have paid $90.00 to win if the race was on a Tuesday or Wed and all that TVG viewer money was in the pools:









* Two plus year layoff (like 27 month layoff to be exact)

* Three years since its had a top four finish

* Only two published workouts

Obviously it goes wire-to-wire against paceless slugs and wins by 7 lengths in-hand.

http://www1.drf.com/drfPDFChartRaces...=20110702&RN=3

My ROI is pretty good with Prime Timber offspring this meet. He also sired the $76 winner.

[pweizer]

It should be noted that Litfin did not select 1-5 morning line Hilda's Passion as his best bet today. Thus, it can't be only most likely winner as the criteria.

Paul

[philcski]

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord

I think I had a top-pick winner today who was rescued from a slaughter house since it last ran.

Horse probably would have paid $90.00 to win if the race was on a Tuesday or Wed and all that TVG viewer money was in the pools:



* Two plus year layoff (like 27 month layoff to be exact)

* Three years since its had a top four finish

* Only two published workouts

Obviously it goes wire-to-wire against paceless slugs and wins by 7 lengths in-hand.

http://www1.drf.com/drfPDFChartRaces...=20110702&RN=3

My ROI is pretty good with Prime Timber offspring this meet. He also sired the $76 winner.

Yeah, but you missed the exacta and trifecta!