6/11 (BEL): Belmont Stakes Probables/Possibles

[RolloTomasi]

Originally Posted by Travis Stone

Well, this 'splains it!

I think you can argue it either way. Alternation has a similar career arc as Summer Bird, Twining, Oratory, Virginia Rapids, Colonial Affair, Unshaded, Composer, etc. Some of those ran well in the Belmont, some ran terrible, still others skipped the race entirely.

As long as he shows up for races like the Dwyer, Haskell, Jim Dandy, and Travers, I wouldn't fault the connections for this move.

[Travis Stone]

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi

I think you can argue it either way. Alternation has a similar career arc as Summer Bird, Twining, Oratory, Virginia Rapids, Colonial Affair, Unshaded, Composer, etc. Some of those ran well in the Belmont, some ran terrible, still others skipped the race entirely.

As long as he shows up for races like the Dwyer, Haskell, Jim Dandy, and Travers, I wouldn't fault the connections for this move.

I don't know... with this crop, his recent win, distance breeding etc., I don't think you skip the race. I'd roll the dice and hope I'm Colonial Affair instead of Composer any day of the week. No guarantee you're in good form/health come late July. Not to mention it's the Belmont Stakes.