Derby Trail Next Start-Likely/Possible

[justindew]

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi

If he has all that going for him, then why the hell is he a "complete wild card"?

Le Prince in the 1990 Travers. That would have been a complete wild card.

Jesustapdancingchrist.

To me, as I explained earlier, a "wild card" is a horse whose talent level isn't was well established as many of his opponents. Santiva was not fast enough to compete with the likes of Uncle Mo, The Factor, etc. as a juvenile. In his only race this year, he ran well and earned a much higher fig than anything he had produced last year. He will have one more race before the Derby, and that race will be over synthetic- meaning it won't tell me all I would like to know about his form or talent level. Thus, at least as far as I am concerned, there will be a big question mark next to his name.

So I called him a wild card.

[RolloTomasi]

Originally Posted by justindew

So I called him a wild card.

I get your reasoning now.

The Kentucky Derby will be Uncle Mo versus 19 complete wild cards.

[justindew]

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi

I get your reasoning now.

The Kentucky Derby will be Uncle Mo versus 19 complete wild cards.

Now you're being completely ridiculous as opposed to just ridiculous.