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#1
02-20-2011, 02:29 PM
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Why do you like Santiva?
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#3
02-20-2011, 03:49 PM
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I was going to play a win bet but I like the flexibility of the exacta box and wanted some action. I've never got involved in any of these future pools before so we'll see. The horse I wanted to play was To Honor and Serve, but at 10/1, I will pass on it, if he were 20/1 I would have made him the exacta key
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#4
02-20-2011, 05:03 PM
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Uncle Mo must bring out the betters. With one hour to go. Handle is up $60K combined win and exacta over last year.
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#5
02-20-2011, 05:04 PM
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I also was interested in Santiva at odds of 40/1 or higher. His first race off the shelf yesterday he went wide on both turns and came up a little short. Seems he has every right to move up off that race. Also ran a decent race over the CD strip. I'm not saying he is the most likely winner or anything like that, but i think 40+ to 1 is pretty good value and he could very well move up.
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#6
02-20-2011, 05:07 PM
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Santiva can't win the Derby. . . Tiz Blessed and Mucho Macho Man seem like the only ones I'd throw a few $ on for fun. . . The hope would be that MMM gets purchased privately and turned over to a better trainer.
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#7
02-20-2011, 08:01 PM
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Tiz Blessed was sick and Brown has not a clue, plan or idea of what to do with him next. Article was in the Saturday Gazette.
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#8
02-20-2011, 10:11 PM
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Sway Away just came off a lay-off for a trainer with terrible lay-off stats to run a 100 Beyer at a distance that factors to be much shorter than his best based on pedigree. He's not "the goods," but he is the type of horse who could put it all together in the right race. The only problem with him is that his close today looked better than it really was, so lots of otherwise clueless people will jump on the bandwagon. I put $10 on Tiz Blessed just for fun. . . If he remains sick, I'll survive. As you know, I have THAS at 30-1 for a lot more money. . . he's 10-1 in Pool 1.
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#9
02-20-2011, 10:41 PM
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Santiva ran ok - but I still don't like him at all. No shot for the Derby.
At least Sway Away can be moved up and called an X Facor. The Factor still remains on my X Factor section as well ... but if I had to pick between Sway Away or The Factor for the Kentucky Derby .. I'd lean to Sway Away.
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#10
02-20-2011, 11:53 PM
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Back in 2003 I laid $20 on Funny Cide in the first pool. He was the second-longest shot in the field at 93/1. I know this is a major redboard, but I swear to god it's the truth. Funny Cide won the Derby at 12/1 odds, and I cashed my future bet for $1800!
I got hooked with that...obviously. Since Funny Cide, I've come up empty with my future wagers. The closest I've gotten since then was a future on Closing Argument in 2005.....finished 2nd at 70/1. I think my future on him was something like 40/1....whatever. This year, I laid $20 on the other Pletcher/Repole horse, Stay Thirsty at 40/1, and I also laid $10 on Jaycito at 20/1...just because he's Baffert. For the record, I also bought $10 on Indian Winter at 71/1....scratched out of the San Vicente today....yuck! The fact is that this future pool is fun! You always have to wait until the last 15 minutes or so because it's pari-mutuel, but if you can't get to 'Vegas to get your fixed odds bet down, this is the next best thing.
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#11
02-20-2011, 08:02 PM
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#12
02-20-2011, 08:24 PM
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I always make some token win bets on these futures, and played some exactas for the first time.
I played: Dialed IN in the first and second slots in exactas with Clubhouse Ride, Indian Winter, Mucho Macho Man, Uncle Mo, and the field. Uncle Mo in exactas over Clubhouse Ride, Indian Winter, and Mucho Macho Man. Clubhouse Ride, Indian Winter, and Mucho Macho Man to win.
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Still trying to outsmart me, aren't you, mule-skinner? You want me to think that you don't want me to go down there, but the subtle truth is you really don't want me to go down there!
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