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Old 08-08-2010, 09:46 AM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2006
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Between how strongly Asmussen has done with 2nd time starting 2YOs at Saratoga and how much the firsters' pedigrees indicate they're going to need time, I think Time Counts is going to be very tough in the 4th.

I'll let Gales tell us if Miss Smarty Pants is ready to go since he seems to be in with that barn but Devotion Unbridled lost her debut. Her first foal to race was 0-3 at the age of 2. The extent of Benzel's accomplishments with 2YO firsters over the last five years is a win by Tiz True in a turf route in November 2008. This is a horse who's 3-1 on the morning line!

As far as Classy Touch, Flute lost her debut and none of her five foals to race have won at first asking.

Summer Colony's first foal to race needed three starts to break her maiden. Summer Colony herself needed 7 races to break her maiden.

That leaves you with Sovereign Crisis, who worked well at the sale prompting that gigantic purchase price. Her dam was unraced but her prior two foals to race both lost their debuts and Sir Silver Fox, her first foal, needed six races to break his maiden.

Of course, the board is going to say a lot about this race but the public completely whiffed in the 6th yesterday as the entry was heavily played from the start. Once they found Chad Brown's horse he was bet down to co-favoritism and kept the tremendous run going he's on with firsters.

Fun race.

NT
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