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Old 04-19-2010, 01:39 PM
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slotdirt slotdirt is offline
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It's not like the Preakness is a nothing race or something. There seem to have been at least a few years in recent years where the Preakness winner was considered a stronger stallion prospect than the Derby victory. 2001 and 2005 come immediately to mind.
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Old 04-19-2010, 01:55 PM
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Originally Posted by slotdirt View Post
It's not like the Preakness is a nothing race or something. There seem to have been at least a few years in recent years where the Preakness winner was considered a stronger stallion prospect than the Derby victory. 2001 and 2005 come immediately to mind.
In a lot of instances, the Preakness tends to be the more "honest" or "formful" race in the long run. The road to the Derby is such a clusterfucl< that its almost as if the race itself is an anti-climax and tends to be run in a haphazard fashion (breakneck pace, auxiliary post positions, all sorts of traffic woes going on, etc.). The Belmont, at 12f, is an anomaly that also really has no bearing on the rest of the year in most cases.

For these reasons it's also a race to catch a good horse at an overlaid price. How many beaten Derby favorites have bounced back at Pimlico in recent times? Snow Chief, Prairie Bayou, Point Given, Afleet Alex, Timber Country, Hansel. Well-meant Derby horses like Louis Quatorze, Pine Bluff, Tabasco Cat. Certainly, despite the trouble trips from each, the '89 Easy Goer-Sunday Silence Preakness was the more accurate result of that Triple Crown series.

This year, and I realize its much too early to make any substantial predictions, I'm already on the lookout for expected Derby dud Sidney's Candy to be more of a threat at Pimlico than at Churchill.
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Old 04-19-2010, 02:26 PM
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It has changed though last ten years. As you mentioned Preakness used to be completely different race- with many of the Derby losers and also some fresh horses. Now the Derby losers tend to pass the Preakness and wait to come back in Belmont
True. Lemon Drop Kid, Commendable, Empire Maker, Birdstone, Summer Bird, Jazil. But I'm willing to bet a couple of those would have done fine at Pimlico, too.
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