Make Believe

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

With all the work I have presently, I'm lucky to be doing any handicapping at all. And, I needed Artistic Talent last time.

Not to say that I think much of this horse but what exactly do you base your opinion that she's not good enough on? It was an off turf and she was coming off a 10 month layoff. She got a nice trip but she won for fun. How do you evaluate her ability?

It's an educated guess. The horses she beat are terrible. Maybe you're right that she can run faster, it is her second off a layoff, but I'm dubious. However, it's not the worst race, to say the least, for any stranger. Frankly, considering I don't like the 5th, and therefore won't play the Pick-4, I'll probably pass.