At what odds will Big Brown be a good wager?

[ceejay]

It would take more than 4-1 for me to bet on him considering his lack of seasoning. Much more. That's a rule I won't try to break at a short price.

Now in the P4, that's another story......

[fpsoxfan]

Originally Posted by ceejay

It would take more than 4-1 for me to bet on him considering his lack of seasoning. Much more. That's a rule I won't try to break at a short price.

Now in the P4, that's another story......

Then I guess you won't be betting him.

[SniperSB23]

I'd need 5-1 before I could consider it value and considering I already have All Others from the 2nd Derby Pool at 6-1 there is no reason for me to pile more on that. I'll play him on top of a couple tris and try and beat him everywhere else.

[Mike]

I put a 7 day limit on the poll, about the time the field is set and post positions drawn

I'm trying to gauge the attitude towards Big Brown on this forum, knowing how much us "wise" handicappers want to find a sensible alternative, to get an idea of how many will defect back to him at what odds

[Hickory Hill Hoff]

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan

Then I guess you won't be betting him.

Nor will I

He'll be the biggest underlay in years

[fpsoxfan]

I've spent the past few days watching many of the preps of the major players in this field and Big Brown looks very impressive. I'm not touting him just yet, but at this point I'd be very surprised if he's not in the top 4.

[johnny pinwheel]

i put 4-1. but thats as high as you went. he would have to be 10-1 before i would even think about it. 3 races 2 were meant for turf, the fla derby was 1 good race vs who ? turf because your feet hurt, to a mile and quarter on a track as hard as CD. good luck.

[fpsoxfan]

Originally Posted by johnny pinwheel

i put 4-1. but thats as high as you went. he would have to be 10-1 before i would even think about it. 3 races 2 were meant for turf, the fla derby was 1 good race vs who ? turf because your feet hurt, to a mile and quarter on a track as hard as CD. good luck.

Well, can't we say that about any of the Prep races?
Don't forget the fact that Big Brown registered two consecutive 106 Beyers.
I'm looking hard, but other than Pyro I'm not seeing anyone else that has done that.

[johnny pinwheel]

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan

Well, can't we say that about any of the Prep races?
Don't forget the fact that Big Brown registered two consecutive 106 Beyers.
I'm looking hard, but other than Pyro I'm not seeing anyone else that has done that.

you said it . pyro. anything over 6-1 is a steal.

[fpsoxfan]

Originally Posted by johnny pinwheel

you said it . pyro. anything over 6-1 is a steal.

You may be right.