![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
|
#1
|
||||
|
||||
![]() Quote:
|
#2
|
||||
|
||||
![]() well, normally the last 3 posts picked are 20-19-1
|
#3
|
||||
|
||||
![]() Quote:
|
#4
|
|||
|
|||
![]() I think post positions are the single most over thought out factors in horse racing. Especially for a closer like Smooth Air. Especially in the Derby when any horse has an excellent chance of getting into trouble.
|
#5
|
||||
|
||||
![]() It definately depends on your running style, as well as, the running style of those around you. The #1 post has produced more winners than any post in the history of the Derby, though most of that was when the fields were smaller. I think Ferdinand was the last to win there in 86, and he came from off the pace. There has been a decent run over the last several years from the posts near the auxilary gate because those tended to give you a little more racing room as they got away.
__________________
Do I think Charity can win? Well, I am walking around in yesterday's suit. |
#6
|
||||
|
||||
![]() It is interesting that posts 15 and 16, the first two in the auxillary gate, have done well in the Derby. 17 and out are horrible. The evidence is getting weaker for the two aforementioned posts(*15,16), so I'll re-look at it
|
#7
|
||||
|
||||
![]() Posts 15 and 16 have won 5 of the last 12 Kentucky Derby's in which there have been 16 or more runners
|
#8
|
||||
|
||||
![]() Don't forget that if Gayego gets an outside post, his jock might just keep him 15-to-20 wide around both turns.
|
#9
|
||||
|
||||
![]() Quote:
|
#10
|
||||
|
||||
![]() I think post really doesnt matter for Smooth Air. Post will be more important for Big Brown. If he is in the 20 hole then I think he has no chance at winning.
|
#11
|
||||
|
||||
![]() Quote:
|
#12
|
||||
|
||||
![]() Quote:
|
#13
|
||||
|
||||
![]() Quote:
|
#14
|
||||
|
||||
![]() Quote:
|
#15
|
||||
|
||||
![]() Quote:
|
#16
|
|||
|
|||
![]() I seem to remember Durkin saying something to the effect of "and Street Sense is 19th in the early going!"
|
#17
|
||||
|
||||
![]() Quote:
|