handicapping 101 PART 3 BAD DROPS IN CLASS

[pmacdaddy]

I have a borderline obsession with Maiden Claiming races... I am really not sure why, as I am by no means a pedigree guru or particularly confident with MSW's.

I pass on playing class droppers more often than not, but when I find the ones I really like they are by far my favorite plays.

I almost never play fav with a big trainers or big $$ purchase. Even when right, the payouts are usually low. I agree with the above that they are often bad favorites and lend higher than deserved odds to other runners.

Instead I look for fair (or juicy) odds on trainers with high ROI in MCL in general or high ROI on the MSW/MCL move. I am always looking for good MSW tote action and excuses with either troubled trips, washed off turf races, unappreciated sloppy starts, failed turf experiments, etc.

Just my two cents. I am by no means a great (or probably even very good) capper. But I would probably be best served to just play these runners as it is where I undoubtedly have my best success.

Curious as to other folks take on the topic.