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  #1  
Old 05-30-2007, 10:31 AM
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Currently thinking the 1/1a entry is a single candidate in 7th.

Whateverwillbwillb broke maiden off the layoff last spring at BEL. Could be tough here picking up JV for 2007 return. Turf Beyers from last year seem a notch above rest. Like the works over BEL Turf course. Could sit stalking trip with plenty of pace in here.

Entry mate Classic Expression is no slouch either going 2nd off Layoff for Serpe. Has 2 wins at distance and gets Prado. Showed Improved effort 2nd off last layoff up at Saratoga.
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  #2  
Old 05-30-2007, 10:37 AM
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Elmont, NY weather for tomorrow.

Mostly Sunny High
88°F

Precip
10%

Wind: W 10 mph
Max. Humidity: 46%
UV Index: 9 Very High
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  #3  
Old 05-30-2007, 10:40 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bigsmc
Can anyone in the NE tell me if it is expected to be "fast and firm" tomorrow? Any chance of rain?
Warm (80's) and Sunny today. More of the same tomorrow. Looks like Fast and Firm.
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  #4  
Old 05-30-2007, 10:50 AM
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This is a brutal sequence. There isn't a single horse in this sequence that I'd really feel comfortable standing alone on.

A third carryover to Friday? Not impossible...
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  #5  
Old 05-30-2007, 10:58 AM
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You took the words right out of my mouth Phil....
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  #6  
Old 05-30-2007, 11:00 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by docicu3
You took the words right out of my mouth Phil....
P6 carryovers in NY are hard for me to resist when I've got the funds and impetus to play, but turf racing isn't my strength and this sequence has about 7 horses that could win each race!!

The Friday card is only slightly more manageable.
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  #7  
Old 05-30-2007, 11:20 AM
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Default brutal sequence

Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
This is a brutal sequence. There isn't a single horse in this sequence that I'd really feel comfortable standing alone on.

A third carryover to Friday? Not impossible...
I concur Phil. I've looked at this Pick 6 sequence for two nights now and can't come up with a single in any leg.
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  #8  
Old 05-30-2007, 11:27 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hurricanefrank
I concur Phil. I've looked at this Pick 6 sequence for two nights now and can't come up with a single in any leg.
Tend to agree.. Utterly muddled set of races.

4th: Taking the Tiger looks like the horse to me, but a single in the opener?
5th: A sinkhole after the 6/8, and crying out for a surprise winner..
6th: A turf sprint as the single? Maybe.. Just 'Justy'?

I'm not close to a structure in the 7th, 8th or 9th..

Andy Serling and Seth Merrow on the Show tonight (5:00 and 5:30) to go through the card...
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  #9  
Old 05-30-2007, 11:54 AM
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Race #5

Anyone have first turf and first start numbers for Kingmambo (Miss Poison)? Turf works and pretty gaudy trainer #'s.

First Turf numbers for Broad Brush (Impressionism)? Like the improvement on Poly.

Thanks!
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  #10  
Old 05-30-2007, 12:02 PM
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Default preliminary p6 thoughts

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Tend to agree.. Utterly muddled set of races.

4th: Taking the Tiger looks like the horse to me, but a single in the opener?
5th: A sinkhole after the 6/8, and crying out for a surprise winner..
6th: A turf sprint as the single? Maybe.. Just 'Justy'?

I'm not close to a structure in the 7th, 8th or 9th..

Andy Serling and Seth Merrow on the Show tonight (5:00 and 5:30) to go through the card...
4th: I think the Tiger will be tough (12-1 m/l way too generous); also think Parisella's classmaster L'Oiseau d'Argent could lead 'em throughout at a decent mutuel..
5th: sinkhole is right. Probably have to use Mott's Winsome Ways (2-1) in addition to the 6 & 8...dismissing either Tagg's Miss Poison (9-2) or firster Street Party (6-1) will be difficult to do..
6th: Justy (9-5) burned my $ last out but should go better tomorrow in back-to-back sprint scenario; got a hankering Violette's Baletti (10-1) will be good on the cut back and freshening;
7th: Flying Zee entry (2-1) looks best to me; Flightofthepelican (8-1) could very well relish surface switch for Schosberg;
8th: can make legitimate winning case for nearly all; tepid choice is KMc's Makderah (Ire) who should go better 2d start off bench under JR;
9th: Astoria Sweetheart (2-1) and Clearly a Thrill (3-1) look pretty obvious for inclusion purposes but too often the obvious don't win the $35KMCl events; Albertrani firster Katnik (4-1) may go well and wouldn't have to be much.
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  #11  
Old 05-30-2007, 03:03 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
This is a brutal sequence. There isn't a single horse in this sequence that I'd really feel comfortable standing alone on.

A third carryover to Friday? Not impossible...

I strongly disagree.

Unlike Monday's virtually unhittable sequence this one is a huge favorite to be hit.
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  #12  
Old 05-30-2007, 03:20 PM
sumitas sumitas is offline
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hmmm, race 4 is friggin contentious...Unigold i kinda like but i need to dig deeper.
now race 7 Whateverwillbwillb seems to do better on a softer turf. tomorrow will be firm. Square Dancing did ok in 06 but is off her game this year. doesn't seem like she cared for the inner at A. she is coming in 2nd off a layoff and has put up a big turf number last year...she like the firm going on the turf. Fiddlers Pleasure, i just wonder if she doesn't love the firm going.

Last edited by sumitas : 05-30-2007 at 03:52 PM.
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  #13  
Old 05-30-2007, 04:01 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I strongly disagree.

Unlike Monday's virtually unhittable sequence this one is a huge favorite to be hit.
Why was it virtually unhittable the 28th?

I assume, overall, carryovers are hit 90-95% of the time, so you're probably right on tomorrow. What made Monday so different?
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  #14  
Old 05-30-2007, 08:10 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SentToStud
Why was it virtually unhittable the 28th?

I assume, overall, carryovers are hit 90-95% of the time, so you're probably right on tomorrow. What made Monday so different?


They were very contentious and open races and there was only one odds on horse the whole day. An even mildly responsible play ran into the thousands.

I told Byk Monday morning I would be shocked if it was hit.
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  #15  
Old 05-30-2007, 04:12 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I strongly disagree.

Unlike Monday's virtually unhittable sequence this one is a huge favorite to be hit.
Honestly, I expect someone(s) to buy a big ticket and take it down, but given the lack of obvious singles it's difficult to construct a reasonable ticket for less than $1,000-2,000 IMO.
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  #16  
Old 05-31-2007, 02:54 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
This is a brutal sequence. There isn't a single horse in this sequence that I'd really feel comfortable standing alone on.

A third carryover to Friday? Not impossible...
Guess I was wrong about this being a brutal sequence.
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  #17  
Old 05-31-2007, 02:55 PM
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what happened to the 6 in that race? late scratch?
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  #18  
Old 05-31-2007, 02:59 PM
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the 7 horse broke thru the gate and ran well down the path. they brought him back and he was scratched. then i noticed that Justy was loaded just prior to the official start. the other horses must have been in the gate waiting.
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  #19  
Old 05-31-2007, 02:59 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
what happened to the 6 in that race? late scratch?

# 7 Armanni- broke through the gate and was a late sratch

-bt-
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  #20  
Old 05-31-2007, 03:01 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
what happened to the 6 in that race? late scratch?
I had the six in 6th on my tiicket. Does that mean I double up on Justy?
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