Pletcher could have won the Derby . . .

[ELA]

JMHO, but no, she would not have beaten the colts. Isolating an 1/8th, or looking at the final time myopically, or the Beyer # for that matter doesn't say enough to say she would have beaten the boys. The Beyer, the 1/8th, or the final time -- and a great deal of other things -- does not take into consideration that she would have had to line with 19 boys, break with them, race with them and look many of them right in the eye.

It's easy to see why many would think so, but it's a hypothetical and in this case, I don't think so.

Eric