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#1
05-03-2007, 09:04 PM
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5/4: Churchill-Oaks Day (Carryover)
Oaks Day and a $100,000+ carryover on top.. Weather turned poor Thursday with prospects not looking bright for the big weekend.. Expect wet/yielding Friday..
CHURCHILL DOWNS Rolling Doubles; Supers in all.. 4th: Alysheba (Gr. III), 3+, 8.5f (P3) BOTH Wanderin Boy and Half Ours going here as of now... 1. #2 Wanderin Boy 5-2 WON 2. #4 Brother Bobby 12-1 5th A. #1 Perfect Drift 9-5 4th B. #5 Student Council 10-1 3rd 5th: Edgewood, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P6, P3) 1. #5 MOONEE PONDS 8-5 4th 2. #9 Good Mood 3-1 3rd A. #4 Nice Inheritance 6-1 7th B. #1 Striking Tomisue 12-1 8th 6th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 6f (P3) 1. #2 Gem Sleuth 15-1 2nd 2. #6 Graeme Six 4-1 9th A. #9 Meredith Bee 8-1 4th B. #10 Thru n' Thru 6-1 6th 7th: Aegon Turf Sprint (Gr. III), 3+, 5f-T (P4, P3) 1. #5 Unbridled Sidney 3-1 2. #4 SCRATCHED A. #6 Gaff 4-1 WON B. #10 Chief What It Is 30-1 8th: Louisville BC (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3) 1. #4 Indian Vale 2-1 2. #2 Baghdaria 20-1 3. #1 Asi Siempre 5-2 9th: American Turf (gr. III), 3yo, 8.5f-T (P3) 1. #5 Marcavelly 7-2 4th 2. #2 Whatsthescript 4-1 2nd A. #11 Cobrador 20-1 B. #3 Jazz Quest 15-1 3rd LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #10 Delightful Kiss 15-1 10th: 113th Kentucky Oaks (Gr. I), 3yo-F 1. #11 Rags to Riches 5-2 WON 2. #10 Autobahn Girl 15-1 A. #4 Octave 6-1 2nd B. #7 Dreaming of Anna 5-1 LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #5 Cotton Blossom 8-1 11th: MSW, 3+, 7f 1. #6 Codio 7-2 WON 2. #4 Leveraged 12-1 A. #5 SCRATCHED B. #12 Sly 6-1 <$200 P6 Play: 5: 5-9 6: 1-2-5-6-9-10 7: 5-6 8: 4 9: 2-5 10: 11 2x6x2x1x2x1 = 48 x $2 = $96 <$50 P4 Play: 7: 5-6-10-12 8: 1-2-4-6 9: 2-4-5 10: 11 4x4x3x1 = $48 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 05-04-2007 at 06:08 PM. 
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#2
05-03-2007, 09:57 PM
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Steve - our tickets are very very similar. that makes me feel better. Quick question, what are your thoughts on BirdBird in the 9th? I see you excluded.
Thanks, and good luck tomorrow. I am going to try to come by and say hello tomorrow.
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#3
05-03-2007, 10:24 PM
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#5
05-03-2007, 11:00 PM
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now you show up...........AAAAAAAHHHHHIHHHT
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#7
05-04-2007, 02:53 AM
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Good luck Root.. Am in the Paddock Pavillion being used as Media Center... And Scavs.. I vacillated on Duveen. Probably worth including underneath because Romans is hot, but Root is dead on.. He's slow. Will save ground though.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#8
05-04-2007, 04:04 AM
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Steve,
Nice to see you got a full 4 hours of sleep. Also, great seeing you and JJ yesterday. Spyderific in Louuisville
__________________
Don't sweat the petty things and don't pet the sweaty things.
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#9
05-04-2007, 07:15 AM
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Changes so far....
I know this looks like crap. You can go to http://www.churchilldowns.com/racing...m_changes.html to get a better view.
Code:
Date: 5.4.2007 Kentucky Oaks Day
Main: SLOPPY Turf: YIELDING (Lane 1, ON THE HEDGE) Last Updated: 7:45 a.m. (EDT)
Pick 6 Carryover - $102,304
Race # Scratches Jockey Changes Overweights Other
1 Post time 11:00 a.m. (EDT)
#2 Raedonald
2
3 #1A Chekhov
#9 Fresado
4
5
6 Pick 6 Begins
#11 Tessa Blue
AE #13 Orange Crush
AE #15 Bobby's Babe
AE #16 Golden Gallant AE #13 Lady Takum will run
7 $150,000 Aegon Turf Sprint (GIII) #2 Mighty Beau
#9 Chosen Chief
8 $300,000 Louisville Breeders' Cup (GII)/$500,000 Guaranteed Pick 4 #7 Sugar Shake
9 $150,000 Crown Royal American Turf (GIII)
10 $500,000 Kentucky Oaks (GI)
11 AE #13 Quick Assets
AE #14 Steve's Double
AE #15 Righteous
AE #16 Vicarian
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#11
05-04-2007, 08:00 AM
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Why no love for High Heels in the Oaks?? I think she's dangerous and can't be overlooked...
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#13
05-04-2007, 08:09 AM
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Fact is that if Script runs his number, he wins this easily BUT that is if you aren't of the opinion that Cali numbers compared to other areas are inflatuated, which I do. It is my opinion that when cali horses travel out of Cali you need to take a second look at their number. If you believe this, and that Duveen improves which he should, you have a winner at more then his morning line because of the possible action that Scipt will take. The double up from Duveen tells me he is ready for a decent sized top, which I am guessing in the 5 to 6 range, and if you think that Cali number is a little juiced, then you have a winner
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#14
05-04-2007, 08:10 AM
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Can anyone confirm when the pick 6 begins? I thought it was the 5th race, as Steve's picks indicate, but per the program changes from churchilldowns.com, the 6th race is listed as the beginning of the pick 6.
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#15
05-04-2007, 08:17 AM
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Quote:
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Loved her in the Fantasy and we had Red Dog on.. Would be a great story. Worried she reacts to the big effort there though... Can't fault anyone using her.. Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#16
05-04-2007, 08:21 AM
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#17
05-04-2007, 08:22 AM
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Thanks, Steve. Always appreciate your insights on ATRAB and this forum.
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#19
05-04-2007, 08:35 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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