Picking tracks

[dellinger63]

Originally Posted by Scav

everything will change this year, it is pointless to even try, only playing turf races here this year and maybe some all's on the poly in exotics, hoping they run some sequences with two turf races in them as those will be the only ones I am playing. They usually run the 7th and 9th on the lawn or the 5th and 7th so I should be ok

if the track proves to be like Keenland it will be a dream as all the speed players (most) will get gobbled up in the stretch

[bugsoup]

so if you play more then two tracks thats to much. in my area i have fair grounds, louisiana downs, evangeline downs, delta downs not the best horses around but you can apply the same principles to them as sau belmont gulfstream and so on.

[pmayjr]

Well when you say play only 1 or 2 tracks-

Are you handicapping the night before, or right up to post time of a given race? I do all my handicapping (except for contests that bar this) 5 and 10 minutes before a given race's post time.But I also bet more than1 track. If I'm sitting at a table with 6 big screens with 6 different tracks, then more than likely at 1 point I'll bet at least a race froim each one.

But with that being said, I like the smaller tracks. I'm a longshot player, and I think you're more likely to hit bombs at those tracks than at NY, Florida, Cali, etc. I especially like the night tracks. Mountaineer, Chuck-town,Evangeline, etc etc etc. Because you get a lot of solid wide-open fields.

[MaTH716]

It's a losing scenario to try to bet every track running, unless you handicapped the night before and picked your spots. I am talking from expierence here. Every time you look up,"Hey 3 minutes until the 3rd at Tampa" then "5 minutes until Delaware's 5th". How much handicapping can you do in 4 minutes? Always miss something. Now I pick the two tracks I feel I do the best at. A NY track and either Gulfstream or Arlington.
You are right about the night tracks, but the only problem are some of those 4 furlong races and some of those 2 turn 6 furlong races.

[pick4]

Originally Posted by dellinger63

if the track proves to be like Keenland it will be a dream as all the speed players (most) will get gobbled up in the stretch

I'm well aware that closers were the way to go at Keeneland's inaugural meet on Polytrack. That might hold true in the upcoming spring meeting too. But as long as I've been following Keeneland, which has been about nine years, I've noticed that the spring meeting was the one which rail and/or front speed was dominate. The fall meeting usually was pretty fair.

I'd keep an open mind early in the meet since the "conventional wisdom" is speed is not good. The surface is new, and not much is known about it except that some third rate tracks in the UK have it and Michael Dickinson trains his horses over the surface.