Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old Yesterday, 06:09 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,660
Default 4/11: Keeneland (4th-11th; $154k P6 C/O)

KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Rockin Robin 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Mon Reve 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Pinto 9-2 WON ($6.92)


5th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Comprehensive 3-1: 2nd Lynch Hard Spun strong on paper; Has had chances..
Best Value: #4 Magical Factor 15-1 WON ($19.18)
Next Best: #10 Newman 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Minotaur 4-1 7th


6th: OC/N2X, 4+, 9f (P6, P3, DD)

$154k P6 C/O starts here..

Best Value: #4 Curlin's Malibu 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Conquest Warrior 9-5 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Authentic Strike 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Original Sin 8-1 WON ($14.48)


7th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m-T (P5, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Sicilian Defense 8-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Noble Confessor 3-1 WON ($5.64)
Exotics Use: #6 Arkhipov 8-5 4th
Super Add: #2 Love'm Or Liam 6-1 3rd


$3 Turf P3 Grid:

7: 3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-3-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 4-6-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x3x3 = 18 x $3 = $54

$3 PICK THREE (7/10/6) $43.77
$3 PICK THREE (7/1/6) $84.99



P4 Grid:

4: 8 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 3-4-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-3-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 1x4x3x4 = 48 x .50 = $24


8th: MSW, 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Right Timing 5-2 4th
Best Value: #11 Belle 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Al Ghadeer 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Arcana 10-1 9th


9th: Jenny Wiley (G1), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T ($3 Late P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Segesta 7-2 DH-WON ($2.84)
Best Value: #3 Medoro 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Expensive Queen 8-1 DH-WON ($3.46)
Exotics Use: #6 Deep Satin 20-1 8th


$3 Late P3 Grid:

9: 1-3-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x3x2 = 18 x $3 = $54


10th: Lexington (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #7 The Hell We Did 8-1: 2nd Senor Buscador half (Rose's Desert's 2023 Authentic colt)..
Best Value: #3 Decisive Win Late SCR
Next Best: #10 Confessional 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Corona de Oro 6-1 3rd


11th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 West End Kid 9-2 WON ($5.72)
Next Best: #4 Heeere's Johnny 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #11 Coordinator 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Terre Haute 12-1 4th



P6 Grid:

6: 4-7 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
7: 3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 10 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
10: 3-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x3x3x1 = $108
All A's: 2x2x2x1x3x1 = $24


P5 Grid:

7: 3-7 (A), 2-6 (B), - (C)
8: 3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-3-10 (A), - (B), 4-5-6 (C)
10: 3-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 6 (A), 4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (4-5-6 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

8: 3-11 (A), 2-12 (B), - (C)
9: 1-3-10 (A), - (B), 4-5-6 (C)
10: 3-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 6 (A), 4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x3x1 = 18 x .50 = 49
Backup (ACAA): 2x3x3x1 = 18 x .50 = $9 (4-5-6 in 9th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : Yesterday at 07:09 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old Yesterday, 10:37 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,660
Default

KEE SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old Yesterday, 03:50 PM
knickslions2's Avatar
knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
Longchamps
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Ohio
Posts: 13,812
Default

That’s pretty tough beat on Belle
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old Today, 06:57 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,660
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by knickslions2 View Post
That’s pretty tough beat on Belle
Yes.. Yes it was.

Did Kimura misjudge the wire? He looked to have paused for a stride..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:51 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2026, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.