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#1
04-12-2024, 04:34 AM
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4/12: Keeneland (5th-10th)
KEENELAND
POST-SCRATCHES 5th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-OFF/TURF ($1 P6, P3, DD) Most Likely: #7 Purloin 2nd Next Best: #10 Just Better WON ($4.40) Exotics Use: #14 Spice 5th 6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD) A tricky group to read.. Most Likely: #12 Bellofthebluegrass 8-1 2nd Best Value: #5 Lotsandlotsofcandy 15-1 12th Next Best: #9 On Command 4-1 5th Exotics Use: #7 Elegant Vision 20-1 9th 7th: Limestone, 3yo-F, 5.5f-OFF/TURF (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #9 Foxxy Cleopatra 7th Best Value: #14 Hot Beach WON ($3.98) Next Best: #4 Zoe's Prime 2nd Exotics Use: #5 Kodiac Wintergreen 3rd 8th: ALW/N2L, 4+, 7f (P3, DD) Best Value: #3 Classic Legacy 9-2 2nd Next Best: #11 Tunisian Spring 9-5 5th Exotics Use: #9 Polster 12-1 10th Super Add: #5 Suncroft 7-2 WON ($16.76) 9th: Maker's Mark Mile (G1), 4+, 1m-T (DD) Fairly confusing group with soft-ish conditions adding murkiness. Can't you make a case that Emmanuel gets control from on/near lead? Best Value: #2 Emmanuel 8-1 5th Next Best: #8 Integration 9-2 3rd Exotics Use: #4 Master of the Seas 4-5 WON ($3.54) Super Add: #5 Kubrick 20-1 6th 10th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5d (Hi-5) Best Value: #5 Gilded Craken 8-1 4th Next Best: #4 Midnight Raid 3-1 WON ($6.50) Exotics Use: #10 Ejtimaa 10-1 - Super Add: #1 Laughinalltheway 9-2 2nd P5 Grid: 6: 5-9-12 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 4-9 (A), 14 (B), - (C) 8: 3-9-11 (A), - (B), - (C) 9: 2 (A), - (B), 4-8 (C) 10: 4-5 (A), 10 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x1x3 = 81 x .50 = $40.50 All A's: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (AAACA): 3x2x3x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (4-8 in 9th) P4 Grid: 7: 4-9 (A), 5-14 (B), - (C) 8: 3-9-11 (A), - (B), - (C) 9: 2 (A), 8 (B), 4 (C) 10: 4-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 All A's: 2x3x1x3 = 18 x .50 = $9 Backup (AACA): 2x3x1x3 = 18 x .50 = $9 (4 in 9th) Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 04-12-2024 at 05:01 PM. 
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#2
04-12-2024, 11:45 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#3
04-12-2024, 01:34 PM
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Limestone now off the turf..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
04-12-2024, 01:38 PM
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Good luck Steve. I have the same thought as you in the Makers Mark, except I think Shirl’s Speight could be the beneficiary of basically no early pace in this race. Saez should give him an aggressive ride and he seems to love Keeneland. He got hung out wide last race so I’m willing to give him a shot here.
Interesting group. Chad’s horse made a big move on the turn last out and finished strong. Could be very talented, though this race seems like too much for him. Master of the Seas has been great but also got a very good setup in the BC mile. I don’t want to bet him at short odds. Not sure what to make of Naval Power. Shug’s horse is good and only getting better. Interesting race, best of luck.
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