4/12: Keeneland (5th-10th)
 

KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-OFF/TURF ($1 P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Purloin 2nd
Next Best: #10 Just Better WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #14 Spice 5th


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

A tricky group to read..

Most Likely: #12 Bellofthebluegrass 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Lotsandlotsofcandy 15-1 12th
Next Best: #9 On Command 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Elegant Vision 20-1 9th


7th: Limestone, 3yo-F, 5.5f-OFF/TURF (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Foxxy Cleopatra 7th
Best Value: #14 Hot Beach WON ($3.98)
Next Best: #4 Zoe's Prime 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Kodiac Wintergreen 3rd


8th: ALW/N2L, 4+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Classic Legacy 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #11 Tunisian Spring 9-5 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Polster 12-1 10th
Super Add: #5 Suncroft 7-2 WON ($16.76)


9th: Maker's Mark Mile (G1), 4+, 1m-T (DD)

Fairly confusing group with soft-ish conditions adding murkiness. Can't you make a case that Emmanuel gets control from on/near lead?

Best Value: #2 Emmanuel 8-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Integration 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Master of the Seas 4-5 WON ($3.54)
Super Add: #5 Kubrick 20-1 6th


10th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5d (Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Gilded Craken 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Midnight Raid 3-1 WON ($6.50)
Exotics Use: #10 Ejtimaa 10-1 -
Super Add: #1 Laughinalltheway 9-2 2nd


P5 Grid:

6: 5-9-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-9 (A), 14 (B), - (C)
8: 3-9-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2 (A), - (B), 4-8 (C)
10: 4-5 (A), 10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x1x3 = 81 x .50 = $40.50
All A's: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 3x2x3x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (4-8 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

7: 4-9 (A), 5-14 (B), - (C)
8: 3-9-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2 (A), 8 (B), 4 (C)
10: 4-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x1x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (AACA): 2x3x1x3 = 18 x .50 = $9 (4 in 9th)


Good luck!
Steve

Limestone now off the turf..

Good luck Steve. I have the same thought as you in the Makers Mark, except I think Shirl’s Speight could be the beneficiary of basically no early pace in this race. Saez should give him an aggressive ride and he seems to love Keeneland. He got hung out wide last race so I’m willing to give him a shot here.

Interesting group. Chad’s horse made a big move on the turn last out and finished strong. Could be very talented, though this race seems like too much for him. Master of the Seas has been great but also got a very good setup in the BC mile. I don’t want to bet him at short odds. Not sure what to make of Naval Power. Shug’s horse is good and only getting better. Interesting race, best of luck.