Weekend Stakes Beyers

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Kasept

The soft turf answer makes a lot of sense. The point of showing the TG's was that the horse had moved into range of contention last time, as opposed to Foster Brooks on here claiming undetectable drugs.

Here's another piece from TG.. Sire Profile (TGI = Thoro-Graph Index, average fig of progeny by sire at age 2, 3, 4, 5+). Blame progeny keep improving with age (15.5, 11.25, 9.5. 9.25) and this gelding is late in his 4yo year, about to turn 5.

Steve, I'm not sure why you feel a need to exhaustively redboard an impossible horse. The problem with your logic is he didn't sneak into this win, get a great trip and take advantage of poor ones by others, as he had easily the toughest trip of anyone in the race, and drew off to a career defining victory in his second start for this trainer, and not that long after being claimed for $25K from Todd Pletcher.

Maybe he freaked on a soft turf. It certainly wouldn't be the first time that has happened. His three prior races on courses listed as good weren't strong, even arguably worse than his firm turf efforts, but a softer course like the one on Saturday may well have been much different and to his liking. Regardless, this is an inexplicable effort. To each their own, but I don't believe there is any logical handicapping argument for him, even after the race. Doesn't mean anything nefarious happened. Sometimes racing produces weird results. Sometimes late season turf courses are friendlier to different horses than summertime courses. Who knows.