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  #1  
Old 05-04-2021, 04:10 PM
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fantini33 fantini33 is offline
Churchill Downs
 
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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
I don’t know why it’s so hard to understand that Beyer figs are final time Figs, Freddy, and that horses that set excruciating paces will always run final time figures lower than the actual performance they gave. There was zero chance Jackie’s Warrior was going to get a big final time fig given that pace. He and the runner up ran huge. The Beyer fig was never going to tell that story. I honestly cannot understand why you keep harping on this.

It’s the opposite of raising figs because super slow fractions make fast final times impossible, something you see far more frequently in turf races.
Timeform Figures illustrate this perfectly. The numbers ARE derived from pace. The winner doesn’t always end up with the highest fig. It opened my eyes to an entirely better way of judging performances.
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  #2  
Old 05-04-2021, 04:28 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Originally Posted by fantini33 View Post
Timeform Figures illustrate this perfectly. The numbers ARE derived from pace. The winner doesn’t always end up with the highest fig. It opened my eyes to an entirely better way of judging performances.
Better is a tricky word. Different and worth comparing to try to determine why they sometimes disagree
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  #3  
Old 05-05-2021, 05:18 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
Better is a tricky word. Different and worth comparing to try to determine why they sometimes disagree
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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  #4  
Old 05-05-2021, 07:17 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
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Hey Dunbar...I’ve been meaning to ask. How’d your future wagering go this year?
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  #5  
Old 05-05-2021, 10:05 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Hey Dunbar...I’ve been meaning to ask. How’d your future wagering go this year?
I lost. I guess to you that means I made a bad bet, right?
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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  #6  
Old 05-05-2021, 10:57 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
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I lost. I guess to you that means I made a bad bet, right?
Maybe, maybe not. It depends.

I still maintain chasing 2-1 on a future bet is ridiculous but no need to go back down that road again
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