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Old 12-22-2006, 10:29 AM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,102
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[quote=hoovesupsideyourhead]
Quote:
Originally Posted by bellsbendboy
JJP Indeed thanks for the correction, the median would be a much better measurement. The state breds in Louisiana and Arkansas are delicious, in Illinois a nightmare.

Rupert The average $1.00 pick 4 for the Fairgrounds this meet is $2458 use.

Oracle You are exactly correct, there are no easy winners and if you are a vanilla player its a hard game. Incidentally your pick six analysis a week or so ago at Aqueduct was very good.....


lol the 800 play where he singled in a hopeless bunch,,where it was clear any of the 3 contenders could win.....lmfao..
The more I think about it, the median payoff for a $1 pick 4 has got to be much lower than I was thinking. If you look at all the tracks that were mentioned and you looked at the last 1,000 pick 4s, the medain payoff is the one that comes right in the middle. That mean there would be 500 payoffs under that number and 500 payoffs over that number. There is no way that out of 1,000 $1 pick 4s, that there would be 500 of them that would pay over $1,500. I doubt there would even be 300 of them that would pay over $1,500. The median would be nowhere near $1,500. The median would be closer to $800.
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