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#1
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past performances tell you who's the rabbit. they don't however let you know who's there to engage in herding. besides, sometimes rabbits get alone on the lead and stay there til the end. Aristides won the first derby when entered to set the pace for the stable star, who forgot to get going in the end of the race. there's no way to know about these sorts of things and when they may happen again. I think the biggest issue is bettors felt rooked, and when they bring it up, they're told too bad, get over it. it's really the only business I know of that the customer is told 'tough, stop complaining, but please keep betting'.
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Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln |
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#2
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Much of what I've read in this thread seems to be that bettors lost money on Sky Kingdom and they were taken advantage of because he was in the race only to compromise the chances of another horse at his own expense. So my question is why is one form of " sacrifice " accepted and another is not? |
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#3
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How did we know Sky Kingdom would be ridden to lose so much ground?
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"To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize"...Voltaire |
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#4
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We don't know Sky Kingdom will be ridden to lose ground. What we do know is that his trainer has another horse in the race. We also know the other horse is more likely to perform better than Sky Kingdom. As a bettor we have to know that it is conceivable that if given the opportunity, the weaker part of the entry could be used to compromise the chances of another, to potentially help his stablemate win. For a minute let's say Sky Kingdom was outside of Shared Belief. Given the way the early pace developed Espinosa could have kept Smith inside of him and behind his stablemate. No ground would have been lost but potentially Shared Belief may have been compromised in another manner. I'm not condoning what happened. I simply want to know why one strategy is acceptable and another is not. |
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#5
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I dont see how one horse is sacrificed, he is a front runner who will have to go head to head with another, usually superior front runner, his loss is very likely and certainly discernible. Your analysis pre race certainly highlights why many people dont want to bet on the sport.
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"To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize"...Voltaire |
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#6
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My pre race analysis points out only a possibility, nothing more. There are no absolutes. Bettors can choose which races to wager. |
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#7
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#8
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This can go on forever and no one is changing camps.
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#9
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I have time, but thanks.
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#10
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The difference is really simple. Running a rabbit, or to simplify it to its core, running a horse as fast as they can for as long as the horse can go is simply within the rules of the game.
Herding is against the rules and is something that drives the bettors crazy because it is giving a horse an unfair advantage over an opponent. BTW, I did not bet Sky Kingdom and frankly thought he had no shot on paper. |
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#11
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__________________
Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln |
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#12
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It doesn't mean he won't.
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#13
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but one can bet him, or not, accordingly. it's there in the pp's to see he's a speedster.
however, no one is going to know by reading pp's that the longshot will be ridden so as to impede another horse, and then be pulled up and not bothered to finish. bettors have no way to act accordingly, because they don't know ahead of time. but i guess we're 'supposed' to know which longshots are live, and which are just there to be a traffic cone. how we're supposed to know that i'm not sure. so, bettors get told tough and nothing is done, and bettors are just whiners. but, hey, keep betting tho!
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Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln |
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#14
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It doesn't change the fact that in both cases there is a possibility that your money is lost before the race begins. |
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#15
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This is why it was a big deal, to protect the betting public on something I think most people will agree, never happens.
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"To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize"...Voltaire |
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#16
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yes, trainers enter more than one horse sometimes, and sometimes the less highly thought of horse wins-so, again, not sure how to figure out who is entered because he has a shot, or who is entered to run interference. but, i guess bettors know now that it's another turd in the punchbowl to worry about... and then we all wonder why people move their gambling to other venues.
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Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln |