Thirsty Thursday Play around

[IrishofNDMan]

Spa 8
$10 exacta 1,3,5 with 2
$25 double 2 with 5

[IrishofNDMan]

I'm an idiot

[pointman]

Is there any race at Saratoga that Castellano doesn't win? He is really in a zone right now.

Trombetta's are auto-tosses for me from here on out for this meet. If he can't win with a closer who is dropped in half in price with a ground saving perfect ride behind blazing fractions, he will not win a race at this stand.

[HoosierInOhio]

Originally Posted by pointman

Is there any race at Saratoga that Castellano doesn't win? He is really in a zone right now.

Trombetta's are auto-tosses for me from here on out for this meet. If he can't win with a closer who is dropped in half in price with a ground saving perfect ride behind blazing fractions, he will not win a race at this stand.

Anyone could have made 5% this meet by blindly betting Javier to win, through yesterday. Probably higher after today. I had been meaning to query that out as he is winning a ton lately.

Factor Plays Winners Win W+P ITM WROI PROI SROI AvOdd AvgWin High I.V. 08/14/2014
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Play All 00127 00036 28% 45% 58% 1.05 0.95 0.93 5.4 $7.4 $17 2.33

Favorites 00045 00023 51% 73% 87% 1.35 1.20 1.15 1.7 $5.3 $8 4.26
Odds < 3/1 00052 00025 48% 69% 79% 1.28 1.14 1.02 1.8 $5.3 $8 3.80

Odds 8/1 up 00022 00000 00% 09% 14% 0.00 0.46 0.50 15.2 $0 0.00
Odds 20/1 up 00004 00000 00% 00% 00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.7 $0 0.00

ALW/STK 00061 00020 33% 51% 66% 1.10 1.10 1.02 6.0 $6.7 $13 2.64
CLM 00024 00007 29% 42% 50% 1.08 0.79 0.78 3.7 $7.4 $14 2.48
MSW 00031 00005 16% 39% 55% 0.62 0.80 0.94 5.3 $7.7 $11 1.32

[casp0555]

AP 9

$1 Trifecta - 3,7/3,5,7/2,3,4,5,7
$12

[pointman]

Originally Posted by HoosierInOhio

Anyone could have made 5% this meet by blindly betting Javier to win, through yesterday. Probably higher after today. I had been meaning to query that out as he is winning a ton lately.

Factor Plays Winners Win W+P ITM WROI PROI SROI AvOdd AvgWin High I.V. 08/14/2014
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Play All 00127 00036 28% 45% 58% 1.05 0.95 0.93 5.4 $7.4 $17 2.33

Favorites 00045 00023 51% 73% 87% 1.35 1.20 1.15 1.7 $5.3 $8 4.26
Odds < 3/1 00052 00025 48% 69% 79% 1.28 1.14 1.02 1.8 $5.3 $8 3.80

Odds 8/1 up 00022 00000 00% 09% 14% 0.00 0.46 0.50 15.2 $0 0.00
Odds 20/1 up 00004 00000 00% 00% 00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.7 $0 0.00

ALW/STK 00061 00020 33% 51% 66% 1.10 1.10 1.02 6.0 $6.7 $13 2.64
CLM 00024 00007 29% 42% 50% 1.08 0.79 0.78 3.7 $7.4 $14 2.48
MSW 00031 00005 16% 39% 55% 0.62 0.80 0.94 5.3 $7.7 $11 1.32

I am not surprised by this, he is winning on just about anything he is riding. 28% at Saratoga is crazy. Thanks for the stats.

[casp0555]

DMR 5

$1 Pick 4 - 5,9/6,7/2,3,8/1,9,10
$36

[pointman]

DMR 5

The 2 could wire this field, the 11 has a shot at a big price and could sit a nice trip if the speed breaks down.

$20W 2
$5DD 2,11/7,8

[ScottJ]

Speed kills - there is just no substitute in racing for speed.

Again, Castellano delivers the knock-out blow in Saratoga's eighth race following a half in 44.90. Life and death to the wire, Storm Pursuit gutted out the final eighth in a race where late runners should have been able to gobble up the winner's share. Storm Pursuit was a $12,500 claimer at Pimlico just two months back.

Larry Mejias was not able to push Take Down Two's head to the top on the wire.

Sense of Peace looks like severely damaged goods pulled up after five furlongs despite looking to have the front runners in sight at the quarter pole.

[jms62]

Toga 8

$20 DD 2/3,8

[casp0555]

Originally Posted by knickslions2

$104

Thanks Nic. Feels good for a change.

Toga 9

$20 dd
5/4,8

another nice play Knicks.

Originally Posted by casp0555

Spa 6

$2 Pick 3 - 4/4,6/1,2,6,7
$16

97.00

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by casp0555

another nice play Knicks.

97.00

Thanks. Well done yourself Billy

[pointman]

Dmr 1

$20w 8

[pointman]

Dmr 6

$20w 8
$10dd 7,8/1,8

[tanner12oz]

I dont see anything here at del mar

[pointman]

Dmr 8

$20w 4

[tanner12oz]

I was alive to 7 horses at del mar and lost the pick 4 brutal

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by ScottJ

Speed kills - there is just no substitute in racing for speed.

Again, Castellano delivers the knock-out blow in Saratoga's eighth race following a half in 44.90. Life and death to the wire, Storm Pursuit gutted out the final eighth in a race where late runners should have been able to gobble up the winner's share. Storm Pursuit was a $12,500 claimer at Pimlico just two months back.

Larry Mejias was not able to push Take Down Two's head to the top on the wire.

Sense of Peace looks like severely damaged goods pulled up after five furlongs despite looking to have the front runners in sight at the quarter pole.

Absolutely no excuse at all for the 2 and 5 not to go by the 7. I played a huge pick 3 using only the 2,5 with a 5x5 finish. Im sick right now.

[casp0555]

Spa 9

$5 dd 1,2,8 / 7
$15

[IrishofNDMan]

Spa 9

$20 exacta 5 with 4