Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 09-06-2022, 04:37 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,847
Default 9/6: Colonial Downs (VA Derby/Oaks Day)

COLONIAL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Flyin Bessie 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Dreaming of Snow 20-1 WON ($10.40)
Next Best: #2 Inventing Anna 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Lure'em In 8-1 9th


6th: Kitten's Joy, 2yo, 8.5f-Inner (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Rarified Flair 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 Gigante 5-2 WON ($12.00)
Best Value: #6 Artico 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Free Soul 5-1 3rd


7th: Da Hoss, 3+, 5.5f-Outer (P4, P3, DD)

Yikes.. Hyper competitive dash..

Best Value: #7 Matta 6-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Yes and Yes 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Nobody Listens 6-1 7th
Super Add: #4 County Final 8-1 3rd


8th: Rosies, 2yo, 5.5f-Outer (P3, DD)

Lightly raced juvy turf sprinters means guesswork..

Most Likely: #1 Call Me Ice Man 5-1 7th
Best Value: #3 Bal a Kazoo 10-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Grand Oak 9-5 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Opposites Attract 8-1 6th


P4 Grid:

5: 7-9 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
6: 2 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
7: 3-7-8 (A), 4-6-11 (B), - (C)
8: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x6x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x1x3x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (1-6 in 6th): 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


9th: Virginia Oaks, 3yo-F, 9f-Inner (P3, DD)

With fave Oakhurst out-posted, this seems open to some that should enjoy advantageous trips..

Best Value: #3 Catiche 5-1 11th
Next Best: #13 Oakhurst 3-1 12th
Exotics Use: #9 Sparkle Blue 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Surprisingly 12-1 7th


10th: Virginia Derby (G3), 3yo, 9f-Inner (DD)

Half of this field looks eligible (1-2-5-7-9-10)..

Most Likely: #1 Royal Patronage 5-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Limited Liability 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Catnip 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Unanimous Consent 3-1 4th


P5 Grid:

6: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-7 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)
8: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-13 (A), - (B), 2-9 (C)
10: 1-5-9 (A), 2-7-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x3x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: $18 (2-9 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

7: 3-7 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)
8: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-13 (A), - (B), 2-9 (C)
10: 1-5-9 (A), - (B), 2-7-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: $18 (2-9 in 9th) + $18 (2-7-10 in 10th)


11th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 9.5f-Outer

Best Value: #8 Soft Touch 6-1 WON ($7.80)
Next Best: #1 Trail Ridge Road 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Batyah 5-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Vibrancy 12-1 6th


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 09-07-2022 at 04:14 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 09-06-2022, 10:16 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,847
Default

CNL SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 09-06-2022, 10:25 AM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: suffolk downs
Posts: 5,811
Default

Why are you against Unanimous Consent ? Seems like everyone else is too.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 05:32 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.