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8/25: Saratoga (149th Travers Day)
SARATOGA
POST-SCRATCHES 1st: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD) Larry Best's $850k Greyes Creek debuts here from tricky rail, but Norm Casse's Bird baby for Whitney looks to have breakaway speed. Fixedincome Larry half Puttheglassdown can improve 2nd out off solid bow. Dallas Stewart brings LA-bred Classy John in from the Spectrum where he zipped in sub :59 for first start.. Best Value: #2 Mischievous Bird 9-2 7th Next Best: #1 Greyes Creek 8-5 4th Exotics Use: #5 Puttheglassdown 2-1 2nd Super Add: #3 Classy John 8-1 WON ($26.40) 2nd: NY-ALW/C, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Wildly competitive NY turf ALW, where boxcar mutuels live.. Pecking order: 5-1-7-9-3-4-2-10-12-8-6-11.. Most Likely: #5 Collective Effort 5-1 3rd Best Value: #1 Carthon 15-1 4th Next Best: #7 Mango M 6-1 7th Exotics Use: #9 Shiraz 8-1 9th Super Add: #3 Blame the Thief 30-1 10th 3rd: ALW/C, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD) Good group with SCR of Tommy T taking lick out of the already-modest pace scenario.. Best Value: #7 Cerretalto 6-1 3rd Next Best: #8 Silver Dust SCR Exotics Use: #4 Souper Catch 4-1 6th Super Add: #6 Hollywood Star 6-1 5th 4th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD) Six of the 10 are stretching out from sprints, which should provide for a prompted pace scenario.. Best Value: #4 Salvator Mundi 10-1 10th Next Best: #3 Digital Footprint 2-1 5th Exotics Use: #7 Social Paranoia 9-2 2nd Super Add: #9 Moon Colony 7-2 4th 5th: Opt CLM/C, 3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD) Best Value: #1 Tathqeef 8-1 7th Next Best: #2 Bird's Eye View 6-1 6th Exotics Use: #7 Scholar Athlete 8-1 3rd Super Add: #10 Mr Maybe 20-1 5th P5 Grid: 1: 1-2 (A), 3-5-6 (B), - (C) 2: 1-5-7 (A), - (B), 3-4-9 (C) 3: 7-8 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C) 4: 3-4 (A), - (B), 7-9 (C) 5: 1-2 (A), 7 (B), 3-4-10 (C) Simple (A+B): 5x3x2x2x3 = 180 x .50 = $90 All A's: 2x3x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 P4 Grid: 2: 1-5-7 (A), - (B), 3-4-9 (C) 3: 7-8 (A), 4-6 (B), 2-3-5 (C) 4: 3-4 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C) 5: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), 3-4-10 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x3 = 150 x .50 = $75 All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 6th: 34th Allen Jerkens (G1), 3yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD) Obviously, if Promises Fulfilled maintains the Amsterdam form he will be very difficult to beat. And really, who is going to run with him early? Firenze Fire, Still Having Fun and Engage are the next set of players with Telekinesis, Seven Trumpets and interesting turf emigre Gidu the puncher's chance longshots.. Most Likely: #1 Promises Fulfilled 8-5 WON ($4.50) Next Best: #8 Firenze Fire 5-2 3rd Best Value: #7 Still Having Fun 6-1 5th Exotics Use: #3 Engage 4-1 4th 7th: 69th Personal Ensign (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (NYRA Bets P5, P3, DD) Wow Cat had to need the Shuvee as a tightener being away over 6 months and can win today.. Best Value: #4 Wow Cat 4-1 3rd Next Best: #6 Elate 7-5 2nd Exotics Use: #1 Abel Tasman 6-5 WON ($3.50) Super Add: #5 Farrell 6-1 5th 8th: 40th Ballerina (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD) As usual, a great lineup of hard-hitting F&M's that had a collective 7f record of 38/15-8-6 (before the SCR of Highway Star). Marley's Freedom looks to pick up on an old West Coast invasion theme for this race hearkening back to Intangaroo & Maryfield.. Most Likely: #7 MARLEY'S FREEDOM 5-2 WON ($5.80) Next Best: #6 Lewis Bay 3-1 3rd Best Value: #8 Union Strike 15-1 4th Exotics Use: #5 Finley'sluckycharm 3-1 7th 9th: 39th Forego (G1), 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD) City of Light draws perfectly and can stalk or go as needed.. Most Likely: #8 City of Light 9-5 2nd Next Best: #1 Limousine Liberal 3-1 3rd Best Value: #5 No Dozing 15-1 5th Exotics Use: #6 C Z Rocket 9-2 4th 10th: 44th Sword Dancer (G1), 3+, 12f-IT (P4, P3, DD) Feels like there will be some actual pace on here and with added ground, that gives Castellano and Sadler's Joy their best chance. Would be thrilled for The Youngs and Highland Sky to win a race like this.. Most Likely: #10 Sadler's Joy 7-2 6th Next Best: #7 Channel Maker 5-1 2nd Best Value: #5 Highland Sky 12-1 5th Exotics Use: #3 Funtastic 9-2 7th 11th: 149th Travers (G1), 3yo, 10f (P3, DD) We didn't need Justify to make for a very entertaining Travers. There's Queen's Plate winning filly Wonder Gadot (whose last fast dirt effort contends), turfy players in Catholic Boy & Mendelssohn, 4 Triple Crown event money finishers in Gronkowski, Bravazo, Good Magic and Tenfold and GSW's Vino Rosso and King Zachary too. Travers one of the few major prizes Team Asmussen yet to claim and steady-developer Tenfold the right price key here in a Curlin-sired trifecta.. Most Likely: #10 Tenfold 8-1 8th Next Best: #9 Good Magic 2-1 10th Best Value: #7 King Zachary 15-1 4th Exotics Use: #4 Bravazo 12-1 3rd Super Add: #3 Gronkowski 4-1 9th P5 Grid: 7: 1-4-6 (A), - (B), 5 (C) 8: 7 (A), - (B), 5-6-8 9: 8 (A), - (B), 1-5-6 (C) 10: 3-5-7-10 (A), 2-4-6-9 (B), 1-8 (C) 11: 7-9-10 (A), 3-4-11 (B), 2-5-8 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x1x1x8x6 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 3x1x1x4x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 P4 Grid: 8: 7 (A), - (B), 5-6-8 9: 8 (A), - (B), 1-5-6 (C) 10: 3-5-7-10 (A), 2-4-6-9 (B), 1-8 (C) 11: 4-7-9-10 (A), 2-3-5-11 (B), 1-8 (C) Simple (A+B): 1x1x8x8 = $64 ($32 for .50) All A's: 1x1x4x3 = $12 ($6 for .50) 12th: 30th Ballston Spa (G2), F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD) Best Value: #3 Proctor's Ledge 4-1 6th Next Best: #1 A Raving Beauty 7-5 4th Exotics Use: #6 Off Limits 3-1 5th Super Add: #5 Quidura 4-1 WON ($9.50) 13th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 1m-IT Most Likely: #5 Azzedine 2-1 4th Next Best: #9 Victor Lounge 9-2 3rd Best Value: #3 Proximate to Power 15-1 5th Exotics Use: #2 Wisely 5-1 6th P4 Grid: 10: 3-5-7-10 (A), 4-9 (B), 2-6-8 (C) 11: 7-9-10 (A), 3-4-11 (B), 2-5-8 (C) 12: 1-3 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C) 13: 5-9 (A), - (B), 2-3-10-11 (C) Simple (A+B): 6x6x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 4x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-26-2018 at 04:43 AM. |
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-25-2018 at 10:02 AM. |
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Thanks Steve. With the way early speed held yesterday, I really like the #3 Classy John in Race 1. He looks fast. I also would not be surprised to see the #4 - Lucid Dream put in a good effort, though think this group will be too tough. I’ll keep an eye on him for next time out, while including in some of my vertical bets.
But also really like your top two choices. Anyway, good luck! |