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#1
11-01-2017, 10:53 PM
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11/3 (DMR): Breeders' Cup Friday
DEL MAR ~ BREEDERS' CUP FRIDAY
POST-SCRATCHES Once more into the breach dear friends.. The 'Breeders' Cup invocation'. These 2 days offer unique opportunities with chances to be rewarded for creative thinking and audacious risk-taking. Some will come away delighted and some maddeningly frustrated, but all should approach these races as the curious and challenging puzzles they've become. No matter how well you 'handicap' the races, fields this deep and mysterious will produce several nearly unforeseeable results. Remember that you could be taking an '0-fer' well into Saturday and get it all back (and more) in the weekend's waning moments. But no matter how the ledger looks when it's over, appreciate that your ability as a horseplayer won't be defined over the course of 2 days. Spend as freely as you can afford, get a little lucky, and here's hoping that everyone nets something that fills their account and makes them proud. For the 12th year in a row, it's been a pleasure bringing the Cup to everyone listening. I hope the 15 hours here and the time leading up offered each of you something you can convert into winning tickets. Thanks to Del Mar, Breeders' Cup, ATR sponsors, everyone who contributed so generously to the shows and most importantly, the listeners.. Let's get lucky this weekend! 1st: 7th Damascus, 3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD) With 2 of racing to go on, as discussed with Brad Free, get a sense the main track is playing quick and slightly inside while the turf has been it's very typical self with mid-pack stalkers and late movers sweeping to leads.. Most Likely: #6 Mr. Hinx 3-1 2nd Next Best: #2 Good Bye Greg 8-1 5th Best Value: #4 Kobe's Back 8-1 4th Exotics Use: #7 Loose On the Town 7-2 3rd 2nd: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD) Most Likely: #11 Ritzy A. P. 7-2 WON ($7.80) Next Best: #9 Cheekaboomboom 5-1 6th Best Value: #10 Lazzam 15-1 2nd Exotics Use: #6 Soglio 9-2 3rd $1 Exacta (11-10) Paid $32.30 $1 Trifecta (11-10-6) Paid $178.60 3rd: OC/N1X, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 CITY OF LIGHT 7-2 2nd Next Best: #1 Prime Issue 9-2 7th Best Value: #12 Mesa Sky 8-1 4th Exotics Use: #10 Dabster 6-1 WON ($11.40) 4th: 5th Golden St. Juvy Fillies-R, 2yo-F, 7f (P6, P3, DD) Best Value: #6 Pulpit Rider 6-1 6th Next Best: #4 Show It N Moe It 5-1 3rd Exotics Use: #3 Ismelucky 5-2 4th Super Add: #8 Spiced Perfection 5-1 2nd 5th: 10th Marathon (G2), 3+, 14f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #7 Hard Aces 5-2 3rd Next Best: #1 Archanova 4-1 7th Best Value: #3 Destin 5-1 WON ($6.00) Exotics Use: #6 Ground Rules 8-1 6th P5 Grid: 1: 2-6 (A), - (B), 3-4-5-7 (C) 2: 9-11 (A), 5-6-10 (B), 2-4 (C) 3: 2 (A), - (B), 1-10-12 (C) 4: 3-4-6 (A), 1-8 (B), 7-9 (C) 5: 1-3-7 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C) Simple (A+B): 2x5x1x5x3 = 150 x .50 = $75 All A's: 2x2x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 6th: 10th Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD) It's appeared that Brown & O'Brien would hold the key to this and that's still the case, though Best Performance will save ground and could impact.. Most Likely: #11 Rushing Fall 7-2 WON ($8.00) Next Best: #2 Happily 9-2 14th Best Value: #1 Best Performance 12-1 2nd Exotics Use: #8 Significant Form 8-1 4th Super Add: #10 September 6-1 3rd $1 Exacta (11-1) Paid $53.70 $1 Trifecta (11-1-10) Paid $371.60 $1 Superfecta (11-1-10-8) Paid $1,878.10 P4 Grid: 3: 2 (A), 1 (B), 10-12 (C) 4: 3-4-6 (A), 1-8 (B), 7-9 (C) 5: 1-3-7 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C) 6: 1-2-11 (A), 8-10 (B), 7-13-14 (C) Simple (A+B): 2x5x3x5 = 150 x .50 = $75 All A's: 1x3x3x3 = 27 x .50 = $13.50 7th: 11th Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile (G1), 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD) The day's and perhaps the weekend's, most confounding event. You can protect Sharp Azteca & Mor Spirit in multis (they could get into a duel) and try those that have winning races on their page and own wins over the track. Cupid has run best in fast-paced events and proved himself adept at the trip in the Brubaker win here this summer. He's Bejarano's lone BC mount and figures to be overlooked.. Most Likely: #7 Cupid 8-1 10th Best Value: #1 Iron Fist 12-1 5th Next Best: #8 Accelerate 7-2 9th Exotics Use: #9 Battle of Midway 10-1 WON ($30.40) Super Add: #2 Giant Expectations 12-1 6th 8th: 10th Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf (G1), 2yo, 1m-T (P3, DD) While the juvy fillies looks approachable through the major players, the boys' version is a bit of a dog's breakfast. Virtually no superfecta combo will surprise, so take those that appeal to you and hope you've gone deep enough. Snapper Sinclair pressed a hot pace breaking his maiden when moving to lawn and then finished well in a slow paced affair at demanding KY Downs. Flameaway has been meant for turf from the start and has potential to jump forward at a big number. James Garfield, Masar & Sands of Mali are dangerous Euros on my tix and there's nothing wrong with Beholder brother Mendelssohn or Beckford either. Chad Brown's Voting Control is 8-1 as is progressive My Boy Jack. Catholic Boy has made a great impression on observers this week. Should be nuts.. Most Likely: #11 Snapper Sinclair 15-1 12th Next Best: #7 James Garfield 6-1 10th Best Value: #10 Flameaway 20-1 8th Exotics Use: #6 Masar 9-2 6th Super Add: #3 Sands of Mali 30-1 9th 9th: 34th Breeders' Cup Distaff (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (DIS-CLS DBL, DD, Hi-5) This is going to be very interesting. With Champagne Room forced to go and Stellar Wind likely to use the pressure tactics that worked v. Beholder, think the pace is going to heat up and provide Forever Unbridled her ideal scenario. Abel Tasman too dangerous to exclude.. Best Value: #6 Forever Unbridled 4-1 WON ($9.40) Next Best: #5 Elate 3-1 4th Exotics Use: #2 Stellar Wind 5-2 8th Super Add: #7 Paradise Woods 9-2 3rd Hi-5 Play: #4 Abel Tasman 4-1 2nd P4 Grid: 6: 2-11 (A), - (B), 1-8-10 (C) 7: 1-7 (A), 2-8-9 (B), 3-6-10 (C) 8: 7-10-11 (A), - (B), 3-4-6-8-13 (C) 9: 2-5-6 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 2x5x3x5 = 150 x .50 = $75 All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 DIS-CLS DBL: DIS: 5-6 (A), 2-7 (B), 4-8 (C) CLS: 1-5-8 (A), - (B), 9-10-11 (C) Simple (A+B): 4x3 = 12 x $2 = $24 All A's: 2x3 = 6 x $4 = $24 10th: 49th Sen. Ken Maddy (G3), F&M-3+, 5f-T Best Value: #1 So Sweetiz 6-1 10th Next Best: #5 Vigor 5-1 2nd Exotics Use: #10 Street Surrender 8-1 8th Super Add: #9 Long Hot Summer 9-2 5th P4 Grid: 7: 1-7-8 (A), 3-6-9 (B), 2-10 (C) 8: 3-6-7-10-11 (A), - (B), 2-4-8-13 (C) 9: 5-6 (A), 2-4-7 (B), - (C) 10: 1 (A), - (B), 5-9-10 (C) Simple (A+B): 6x5x5x1 = 150 x .50 = $75 All A's: 3x5x2x1 = 30 x .50 = $15 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 11-04-2017 at 10:57 AM. 
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#2
11-02-2017, 04:40 AM
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Pb72vett winner
Great for early post i love it Steve.I love taking shot with west coast.i would like to know why baffert would not use a rider like Gary Stevens he was riding great ?At thevery least someone who rides that track?
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#3
11-02-2017, 10:22 AM
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Flameaway at anything near 20-1 will get a few of my sheckles!
GL Steve -- and to all else playing along the next few days! Huge scores to be had!!
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#4
11-02-2017, 11:01 AM
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Boss , do you feel the morning line is a little high at 7/2 on City of Light ? The hoss inside of him can be bought for 40 grand.
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#5
11-02-2017, 11:04 AM
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Quote:
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#7
11-02-2017, 02:44 PM
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Gl this week, On your pick 4 selections I am a little confused, race #8 you have # 11 as top pick but not A pick, also Race #9 #2 steller wind you have 3 rd but not A pick you have your 4 th selection ahead of her , is this by design?
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#8
11-02-2017, 03:59 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#9
11-02-2017, 07:01 PM
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Love Lazzam in the 2nd. Glad you included.
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#10
11-02-2017, 07:08 PM
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Only going to bet the 6th and the 8th, tri boxing 3 Euros in the 6th , Happily, Madelaine and September in the 6th (though a 3 horse exacta box would pay well if Madelaine sneaks in)
Juvenile Turf, exacta box Masar and James Garfield
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#12
11-03-2017, 10:13 AM
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Last Chance Ticket For Today
Stretch Run Box Seat T15 450 Value Get It For 300 Bucks! Meet You At Dennys Lot Across From The Track 858-254-8392
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#13
11-03-2017, 11:06 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#14
11-03-2017, 11:17 AM
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Big thank you Steve for all the effort and information that goes into BC weekend. Best of luck!
__________________
Do it big, do it right and do it with style!
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#16
11-03-2017, 07:09 PM
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Quote:
__________________
"Wise men talk because they have something to say, fools talk because they have to say something" - Plato
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