SAT - Churchill Downs (Kentucky Derby Day)

[Bogey]

Churchill Downs – Kentucky Derby Day


R1 – OC 100k/C

#2 Rise Up (5-2)
#4 Ulanbator (5-1)
#1 Teniente Coronel (3-1)
#5 Geothermal (4-1)

R2 – OC 75k/N1X

#4 Pinson (10-1)
#8 Unexplained (4-1)
#1 Street Gray (9-2)
#2 Zapperini (4-1)

R3 – MSW 62k

#10 Jimbo Fallon (4-1)
#5 Bodestar (15-1)
#7 Jazzy Times (3-1)
#11 Grand Candy (5-1)

R4 – MSW 62k (Turf 8F)

#11 Love the Kitten (5-2)
#3 Wolf Goumet (8-1)
#2 Crafty’s Way (5-1)
#1 Havana Dream (4-1)

R5 – OC 62k/N2X

#10 Freestyler (4-1)
#3 Allied Air Raid (6-1)
#4 Hesinfront (9-2)
#2 Bold Conquest (9-2)

PK4 - 1 2 4 8 / 5 7 10 11 / 3 11 / 2 3 4 10 12 = $80

R6 – G2 Churchill Distaff Turf Mile (Turf 8F)

#1 Tepin (1-2) – At this point, she’s automatic.
#4 Isabella Sings (3-1) – Expect another good effort.
#2 Josdesanimaux (20-1) – Consistent and now she steps up.
#5 Bureau de Change (30-1) – Capable of running a big one.

R7 – G2 Churchill Downs

#6 Speighster (6-1) – BEST BET - Has superstar potential and expect him to took care of business in his return.
#4 Barbados (12-1) - Looks to get a nice stalking trip.
#5 Limousine Libel (9-2) – Will be forwardly placed.
#9 Catalina Red (15-1) – Draws well and should not be discounted.

PK5 - 5 7 10 11 / 2 3 11 / 2 3 4 10 12 / 1 / 6 = $30 for $.50

R8 – G1 Humana Distaff

#10 Wavell Avenue (3-1) – Breeders’ Cup F/M Sprint winner should be tighter 2nd off the bench.
#6 Enchanting Lady (8-1) – Has the right style and it never hurts to have Castellano on board.
#8 Taris (5-2) – She always brings it.
#2 Stonetastic (3-1) – Looks to take them as long as she can.

R9 – G2 American Turf (Turf 8.5F)

#13 Azar (10-1) – Has enough ability to overcome wide draw and be in good striking position when it counts.
#1 Airoforce (4-1) – Turf is his game and will appreciate returning to it.
#3 Converge (5-1) – Hopefully he figures out how to leave the gate. Talented.
#8 Shakhimat (5-1) – No secret in tactics, hit the front and hope to hold on late.
#10 American Patriot (15-1) – Adds tremendous value underneath.

R10 – G3 Pat Day Mile

#11 American Freedom (6-1) – Debut was impressive and this could only be the tip of the iceberg.
#12 Unbridled Outlaw (5-1) – Battled some good ones and now cuts back.
#13 Star Hill (10-1) – Didn’t disgrace himself versus Derby types and fits here.
#6 Sharp Azteca (8-1) – Steps up after making short work of rivals at Gulstream.

R11 – G1 Woodford Reserve Turf Classic (Turf 10F)

#8 Divisdero (15-1) – This seems to be the preferred distance and he had a big win on the Matt Wynn course last year. Lots to like.
#10 Tourist (8-1) – Sharp return and seems to be sitting on his biggest career race.
#12 Big Blue Kitten (5-2) – Turf champ demands respect enough in 1st race of 2016.
#11 World Approval (20-1) – Is in good enough form to include with the heavyweights.

R12 – G1 Kentucky Derby

#1 Trojan Nation (50-1) – Draws the dreaded post and will be in a different zip code by the half mile pole.
#2 Suddenbreakingnews (20-1) – He’ll do his best running late and could contend with right set up.
#3 Creator (10-1) – Expecting him to hug the rail throughout before uncorking a late rally turning for home.
#4 Mo Tom (20-1) – Must avoid traffic trouble for his best showing.
#5 Gun Runner (10-1) – Win machine looks to get a favorable trip.
#6 My Man Sam (20-1) – Seems to be peaking at the right time and has the potential to light up the toteboard. Dangerous.
#7 Oscar Nominated (50-1) – Swimming in the deep end today. Must improve tremendously to contend.
#8 Lani (30-1) – He might disrupt the start of the race, but his best strides late could be interesting.
#9 Destin (15-1) – Figures to get a favorable trip, but must avoid the rust.
#10 Whitmore (20-1) – Seems he’ll find himself toward the back of the pack and try to maneuver from there.
#11 Exaggerator (8-1) – Experienced colt has the ability to overpower this field on his best.
#12 Tom’s Ready (30-1) – Can never fully discount his trainer in this race.
#13 Nyquist (3-1) – Champ is not the flashy type, but just gets the job done. Last furlong is a slight concern.
#14 Mohaymen (10-1) – Expecting a huge bounce back race after he hit the quicksand in Florida Derby.
#15 Outwork (15-1) – Lightly raced BIG colt is doing great in the mornings and looks to produce a nice run.
#16 Shagaf (20-1) – One paced and he’s certainly bred for this distance. Must avoid traffic trouble.
#17 Mor Spirit (12-1) – Tough draw, but has multiple gears that make him a threat for all slots.
#18 Majesto (30-1) – Improving colt could be figuring it out at the right time.
#19 Brody’s Cause (12-1) – Liked the way he split horses to win Blue Grass.
#20 Danzing Candy (15-1) – He should be leading turning for home and could prove hard to reel in with the right pace.

Selections:

#6 My Man Sam (20-1)
#14 Mohaymen (10-1)
#13 Nyquist (3-1)
#5 Gun Runner (10-1)
#3 Creator (10-1)

PK6 – 6 / 2 6 8 10 / 1 13 / 11 / 6 8 10 11 12 / 6 14 = $160

PK5 – 2 6 8 10 / 1 13 / 11 / 6 8 10 11 12 / 6 13 14 = $60

PK4 – 1 3 13 / 11 12 / 6 8 10 11 12 / 6 13 14 =$45

R13 – OC 75k/N1X

#8 Fish Trappe Road (6-1)
#5 Sonoma Crush (7-2)
#12 Cash Bonus (6-1)
#7 Uncle Walter (9-2)

R14 – MSW 62k

#1 Hint of Roses (6-1)
#4 Conquest War Cry (6-1)
#5 Forever d’Oro (5-1)
#3 Race Me Home (Ire) (5-1)

PK4 – 6 7 8 10 11 12 / 5 6 13 14 / 5 7 8 12 / 1 = $48

Good Racing Luck