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Old 01-31-2014, 08:21 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,858
Default 1/31: Santa Anita ($70k C/O)

SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P6, P3)

Edgy start to sequence with top 2 ML choices both having to stretch out to the mile trip. 3-1 Sheza Smoke Show bit better bred for it than 8-5 Koukla..

Most Likely: #4 Sheza Smoke Show 3-1 WON ($8.80)
Next Best: #2 Koukla 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 Loan Savant 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 One More Wild Ride 7-2 5th


4th: CLM, 4yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Last thing you want to see is group like this where virtually all of the 7 seem win-eligible under one scenario or another. Faves Topper's Ghost and Too Fast to Pass take class dives and next 4 players all have decent enough form at the level. Even 20-1 Ancient Monarch appears a possibility with solid workout pattern returning from November and some endorsement from clocking community. Race a major headache for ticket construction..

Most Likely: #7 Topper's Ghost 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Change of Plan 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Judge Carr 4-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Ancient Monarch 20-1 5th


5th: Cal-MSW, 4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Down the hill and West Point purchase Gospel Music should like the experience.. SCR Note: Odin comes out and Tricky Journey could end up lone speed..

Most Likely: #4 Gospel Music 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #6 Pressure Time 3-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Tricky Journey 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Tizapalooza 9-2 6th


6th: CLM, F&M-4+, 7f (P3)

Nothing more dangerous than lone speed at 7f and you need to hope that Ralphy Girl gets clear and doesn't look back..

Most Likely: #3 Ralphy Girl 3-1 5th
Next Best: #1 No Tricks for Jack 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #2 Summers Dignity 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Mary Contrary 7-2 2nd


7th: ALW/N2X, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Question here is fitness (with 5 off breaks and 4 more 2nd/break) as well as pace. How much pressure can we expect on Kinz Funky Monkey and Zia Zia Zia? Could Be Trouble is first time as a 4yo and likely improved since '13 departure. The lean..

Most Likely: #10 Could Be Trouble 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Remise 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 My Lil Shamrock 20-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Ultrasonic 3-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Premier Steps 6-1 2nd


8th: MCLM/$30k, 3yo, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Ke in Motion 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Voluntary 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Rambling House 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: 1 Polished Silver 4-1 6th


<$175 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 7 with 4 with 3 with 10 with 7 -$4.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 2,5 with 4 with 3 with 10 with 7 - $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 7 with 3,6 with 3 with 10 with 7 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 7 with 4 with 3 with 7,8 with 7 - $8.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 7 with 4 with 3 with 10 with 4,6 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

6 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 2,5 with 3,6 with 3 with 10 with 7 - $16.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 2,5 with 4 with 3 with 7,8 with 7 - $16.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 2,5 with 4 with 3 with 10 with 4,6 - $16.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 7 with 3,6 with 3 with 7,8 with 7 - $16.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 7 with 3,6 with 3 with 10 with 4,6 - $16.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 7 with 4 with 3 with 7,8 with 4,6 - $16.00

A's with One C

12 $2.00 pick P6: 3,6 with 7 with 4 with 3 with 10 with 7 - $4.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 4,6/SCR with 4 with 3 with 10 with 7 - $8.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 7 with 7 with 3 with 10 with 7 - $4.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 2,4 with 7 with 4 with 1,2,7 with 10 with 7 - $12.00

Total: $160.00


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 3 with 8,10 with 7 - $6.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 3,7 with 3 with 8,10 with 7 - $4.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 4,6 with 1 with 8,10 with 7 - $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 4,6 with 3 with 7 with 7 - $2.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 4,6 with 3 with 8,10 with 4,6 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 1 with 8,10 with 7 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 3 with 7 with 7 - $1.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 3 with 8,10 with 4,6 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1 with 7 with 7 - $1.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1 with 8,10 with 4,6 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 3 with 7 with 4,6 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8,9 with 3 with 8,10 with 7 - $3.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 2,7,8 with 8,10 with 7 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 3 with 1,2,9 with 7 - $3.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 3 with 8,10 with 1,2,3,5 - $8.00

Total: $58.00


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 01-31-2014 at 06:39 PM.
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Old 01-31-2014, 12:12 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,858
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SA SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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