8/10: Saratoga ($53k C/O; Hall of Fame)

[Kasept]

Had an OK day overall Thursday but was frustrated from shot at big P4 by gate scratch of I Bet Toni Knows out of the featured 9th. Anchor leg include Warrior Up scored in the nightcap at 30-1 under hot bug Wilmer Garcia to trip a $2,550 quad behind $8 Statue of Liberty winner My Jopia, $6 Pearl of Wisdom and $8 draw-in Stormy Beauty. Access to the payoff was further blocked by getting Why Take a Chance as the post favorite by a slight margin in the wagering over winner My Jopia. Other than the early double and finale, the afternoon was chalky overall and a number of mundane P3's and whatnot made the day more than passable. 13-1 Papa Tom's second behind Pearl of Wisdom in the 8th was a nice spur to the day actually when the tri came back $131 ($2). Hope everyone did well!

Hall of Fame induction ceremonies this morning ahead of terrific namesake stake this afternoon. $53k C/O today thanks to Warrior Up. Forecasts are calling for thunderstorms throughout the day ( Weather Underground for 12866 ), so keep tabs on the Scratches/Changes/Course Conditions at the NYRA website.


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Here is an appropriate snapshot of how difficult this meet has been. Totally inscrutable group with absolutely 7 of the 9 possible as winner..

Best Value: #2 Everyday Dave 6-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Decisive Move 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Shotinthefog 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Taproot 10-1 2nd


NOW ALL RACES ARE OFF THE TURF; WHOLESALE CHANGES TO COME


2nd: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Effie Trinket 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #8 True Fortune 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Sharon Spagetti 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Westerday 5-1 4th


3rd: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Super cancelled..

Most Likely: #5 Temecula Creek 3-1 4th
Best Value: #1 For All Who Conga 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Regal Strike 5-2 WON ($4.60)


4th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

As a full to Giant Moon, Al Fried's homebred The Giant's Beauty is cut out to be a nice horse. Cuts back, retains Lezcano and could move up on wet if applicable..

Most Likely: #4 Islarama 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 The Giant's Beauty 8-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Typhoon Teri 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Haldane 5-1 WON ($16.20)


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #14 SCR
Best Value: #13 Cindy Says 5-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Insolvent 4-1 WON ($9.10)
Exotics Use: #1 Worthwhilepursuit 5-2 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 6-8
3: 1-5-7
4: 2-3-4-7
5: 1-4/SCR-5-7-13-14/SCR

2x3x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (6,9/3,4,7/3/7) Paid $152.75


6th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 7f-OFF THE TURF (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Mela Dramatically 3rd
Best Value: #3 Ampa's Girl 2nd
Next Best: #1 Nobody Cares 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Royal Suspicion WON ($10.20)


7th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Tweet Me 5-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Weekend Hideaway 4-1 (*) WON ($5.70)
Next Best: #7 Horatio 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Shot Rock 8-1 2nd


8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Saratoga Snacks 5-2 WON ($4.10)
Next Best: #3 Wee Freudian 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Southbeachsandy 15-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Law Enforcement 12-1 4th


9th: 28th Hall of Fame (G2), 3yo, 9f-OFF THE TURF (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Csaba 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Daddy Nose Best 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 (POE) Skyring 3-1 6th/5th
Super Add: #6 Quick Wit 8-1 WON ($23.80)


10th: CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF

Confusing bunch and having it come off turf won't clear anything up either..

Most Likely: #1 Miss Woods 8th
Best Value: #12 Natalie Victoria 2nd
Next Best: #8 Elusive Jozi WON ($6.50)
Exotics Use: #5 Blondecat 3rd


<$150 P6 Play:

5: 1-7-13
6: 4
7: 4-6
8: 9
9: 1-4-6-7
10: 1-8-12

3x1x2x1x4x3 = 72 x $2 = $144

$2 Pick 6 (7/6/5,9/4,5,7,9/6/2,3,6,8,9,11) Paid $324.00 (5OF6)


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-4-5-6-7-8
8: 9
9: 1-4-6-7-8
10: 1-8-12

6x1x5x3 = 90 x .50 = $45

$0.50 Pick 4 (5,9/4,5,7,9/6/2,3,6,8,9,11) Paid $278.25


Good luck!
Steve