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Old 12-09-2011, 06:06 AM
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Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default 12/9: Aqueduct ($81k C/O)

Slippery sequence at the Big A Thursday proved unhittable and an $81k two day carryover is available Friday as a result. Minerologist's upset ($29.40) of the 5 horse Soft Morning had to knock a lot of tickets sideways, while getting both Lostritto-Davis 8th race winner Mr. Vantastic ($29.60) and Contessa nightcap firster Thor's Mjolnor ($16.00) on that same sextet ticket was impossible. Friday sequence is scarcely easier.


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 3+, 1m-70y (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Horses like 7-5 Sanchise are epic P6 complicators. You single them and are not surprised when they fail and when you spread to make sure you survive the leg, they win. In Thursday's opening leg, Glynisthemenace was that type of horse that was the most likely winner but was hardly confidence-inducing. I went three deep and thought I was clever when Smokin' Alice looked like a winner for 85% of the running only to be overhauled in the final 150 yards by Glynis..

Most Likely: #7 Sanchise 7-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #4 Charlestonian 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Magnificent Moon 8-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Unprecedented 8-1 7th


5th: CLM, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Soda Pop Kid 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Cure 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Iron Lou 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #7 Star of New York 5-1 5th


6th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Alphabet Jamerica 2-1 WON ($3.90)
Best Value: #5 Aptphilly 5-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Purely Majestic 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Guyana Princess 15-1 2nd


7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super)

A mess of a race as an off the turfer..

Most Likely: #5 St. Lucy 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #11 Honey Mou 12-1 WON ($7.70)
Next Best: #6 Miss Mexique 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Mayday Maria 10-1 7th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-70y (DD, Super)

Excellent group and a fun betting affair. A steady diet of these over the winter would be great..

Most Likely: #9 Gallant Fields 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Southern Ridge 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 I Love It 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Spa City Fever 5-1 6th


9th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #5 R Clever Cat 1-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Life's Measure 12-1 WON ($23.80)
Exotics Use: #10 Ok to Pay 10-1 4th
Super Add: #9 First Penny 12-1 2nd


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 1-4-7
5: 2-6-8
6: 2
7: 5-11
8: 1-9
9: 5

3x3x1x2x2x2 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-5
7: 1-5-6-11
8: 1-2-7-9
9: 1-5

3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 12-09-2011 at 04:09 PM.
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Old 12-09-2011, 10:31 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,820
Default

AQU SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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