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#1
08-19-2011, 03:41 PM
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HDG to Woodward
http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/edito...e.cgi?id=23495
Going to have her hands full, even without Blind Luck.
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don't run out of ammo. 
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#2
08-19-2011, 03:54 PM
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#4
08-19-2011, 05:24 PM
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"An Absolute Thriller!!" - Grassy wins a six-way photo finish, Saratoga 9th, 8-22-09
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#5
08-19-2011, 06:48 PM
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Win or lose, it's a bold move.
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Do I think Charity can win? Well, I am walking around in yesterday's suit.
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#6
08-19-2011, 08:54 PM
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I really think it was the only move. There's nothing to lose by them going this route and I can't see what they would have gained by going in the Personal Ensign without Blind Luck being there. My personal feeling is that she should currently be ranked ahead of BL on the basis of their 2011 resumes only but it seems like the majority opinion favors BL so HDG has to beat her at some point if they both stayed in their own division. If HDG were to go in the Personal Ensign while BL beat boys in the Pacific Classic, the gap would only widen. A win in this race probably puts HDG on top regardless of what BL does in whichever race they chose for her. If HDG were to win this and then go in the Classic as her camp says, BL would have to beat her there to win any kind of championship. Well, I guess if BL learns to dance, she wouldn't have to win the Classic to get HOY.
__________________
The real horses of the year (1986-2020) Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
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#7
08-20-2011, 12:21 AM
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Based on the projected fields and the nature of the track surfaces, however, it seems that BL has a much greater chance of winning the Pacific Classic than HDG does of winning the Woodward.
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#8
08-20-2011, 02:03 AM
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I don't know if it's a much greater chance but I do agree that BL has a better chance to win the Pacific Classic. Of the two camps, Porter has been much more vocal about his desire to not only win a divisional championship but also HOY. With that in mind, if he had gone in the Personal Ensign while BL won the Pacific Classic, he would have been further behind. A loss in the Personall Ensign would have really hurt.
It feels like a chess move and Porter was taking an offensive move rather than defensive. I like it.
__________________
The real horses of the year (1986-2020) Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
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#9
08-20-2011, 05:29 AM
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Lesson learned from 2010....you don't need to be the Horse of the Year to win the Horse of the Year...you just need to tell enough people you are Horse of the Year to win Horse of the Year. I give Porter credit for learning that.
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
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#10
08-20-2011, 08:01 AM
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Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln
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#12
08-20-2011, 09:31 PM
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While not exactly all timers, I'd certainly rather face Twirling Candy and Game on Dude going 10f over poly with BL.
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#13
08-21-2011, 11:14 AM
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#14
08-21-2011, 11:42 AM
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Still, Flat Out should easily handle HDG.
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#15
08-21-2011, 12:07 PM
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whos going to run in the Woodward then?
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#16
08-21-2011, 01:12 PM
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Convocation, Duke of Mischief, Giant Oak, Flat Out, and either Mission Impazible or Rule from Todd Pletcher's barn.
http://espn.go.com/horse-racing/stor...e-way-woodward
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#17
08-21-2011, 11:17 PM
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Don't the recent quotes from Jerry Hollendorfer suggest that Blind Luck won't go in the Pacific Classic? He hasn't had the most stellar of meets at Del Mar this year, so I wouldn't be surprised to see him sit on her until Santa Anita.
Beyond that, while all these "chess moves" going on in the media are keeping the excitement level for the rivalry alive, I kind of have the feeling we're in for a giant letdown a la Lite Light-Meadow Star in '91. Blind Luck was looking all but cooked as a 4yo as late as April of this year and Havre De Grace hasn't won a top class race outside the Apple Blossom, which looks more and more ordinary as Switch continues to collect minor awards. My prediction: Havre De Grace- 5th beaten 11 lengths in the Woodward. Something like bleeding or respiratory infection will be the excuse. Retired within 4 weeks of the defeat because there won't be "enough time to get her right". Blind Luck- 2nd or 3rd in the Zenyatta Stakes. Then 4th or 5th in the BC Distaff.
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